Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature on April 17 reaching 18°C or higher, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts indicating a daytime maximum near 19°C amid decreasing clouds and low precipitation odds of 20%, following recent highs of 23°C on April 15-16 under partly cloudy skies. International models like those reflected in AccuWeather align, projecting around 21°C with southwest winds aiding daytime heating, though not as warm as prior days due to increasing cloud cover later. April climatology averages 17-18°C highs, but above-normal spring warmth from persistent high-pressure systems supports the tilt toward 18°C+, with 17°C at 17.5% capturing potential moderation from overnight cooling or timing shifts; final observational data from KMA stations will resolve by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月17日首爾最高溫度?
4月17日首爾最高溫度?
18°C或以上 72%
17°C 16%
16°C 8%
15°C 1.8%
$99,080 交易量
$99,080 交易量
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
8%
17°C
16%
18°C或以上
72%
18°C或以上 72%
17°C 16%
16°C 8%
15°C 1.8%
$99,080 交易量
$99,080 交易量
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
8%
17°C
16%
18°C或以上
72%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature on April 17 reaching 18°C or higher, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts indicating a daytime maximum near 19°C amid decreasing clouds and low precipitation odds of 20%, following recent highs of 23°C on April 15-16 under partly cloudy skies. International models like those reflected in AccuWeather align, projecting around 21°C with southwest winds aiding daytime heating, though not as warm as prior days due to increasing cloud cover later. April climatology averages 17-18°C highs, but above-normal spring warmth from persistent high-pressure systems supports the tilt toward 18°C+, with 17°C at 17.5% capturing potential moderation from overnight cooling or timing shifts; final observational data from KMA stations will resolve by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions