Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 29°C high for Shenzhen on April 17 amid expected thundershowers and humid conditions, driving trader consensus toward 29°C (32% implied probability) slightly trailing 30°C (37%), as GFS and ECMWF model ensembles cluster in the 28-30°C range with notable spread. Recent observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport recorded 30°C peaks on April 15-16, fueled by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge enhancing solar insolation above the mid-April climatological average of 27°C. Differentiating factors include partial cloud cover potentially capping temperatures at 29°C versus clearer intervals pushing to 30°C via stronger surface heating; humidity near 80% amplifies heat index but limits peaks. Overnight model updates and hourly observations will refine sentiment before resolution to the official airport maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
30°C 37%
29°C 34%
28°C 12%
31°C 9.8%
$24,585 交易量
$24,585 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
12%
29°C
34%
30°C
37%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
3%
30°C 37%
29°C 34%
28°C 12%
31°C 9.8%
$24,585 交易量
$24,585 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
12%
29°C
34%
30°C
37%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 29°C high for Shenzhen on April 17 amid expected thundershowers and humid conditions, driving trader consensus toward 29°C (32% implied probability) slightly trailing 30°C (37%), as GFS and ECMWF model ensembles cluster in the 28-30°C range with notable spread. Recent observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport recorded 30°C peaks on April 15-16, fueled by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge enhancing solar insolation above the mid-April climatological average of 27°C. Differentiating factors include partial cloud cover potentially capping temperatures at 29°C versus clearer intervals pushing to 30°C via stronger surface heating; humidity near 80% amplifies heat index but limits peaks. Overnight model updates and hourly observations will refine sentiment before resolution to the official airport maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions