Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt under the current map, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the GOP ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis, who won the 2025 special election to succeed Matt Gaetz, faces a crowded Republican primary on August 18 while Democrat Gay Valimont advances unopposed in her party's primary. These structural factors, including historical voting patterns and limited Democratic competitiveness in the Panhandle district, underpin trader consensus around an elevated Republican probability. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the outlook in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$110,479 交易量
$110,479 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
85%
民主党
12%
$110,479 交易量
$110,479 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$85,970 交易量
85%
民主党
$24,509 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt under the current map, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the GOP ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis, who won the 2025 special election to succeed Matt Gaetz, faces a crowded Republican primary on August 18 while Democrat Gay Valimont advances unopposed in her party's primary. These structural factors, including historical voting patterns and limited Democratic competitiveness in the Panhandle district, underpin trader consensus around an elevated Republican probability. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$110,479结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt under the current map, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the GOP ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis, who won the 2025 special election to succeed Matt Gaetz, faces a crowded Republican primary on August 18 while Democrat Gay Valimont advances unopposed in her party's primary. These structural factors, including historical voting patterns and limited Democratic competitiveness in the Panhandle district, underpin trader consensus around an elevated Republican probability. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$110,479结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt under the current map, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the GOP ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis, who won the 2025 special election to succeed Matt Gaetz, faces a crowded Republican primary on August 18 while Democrat Gay Valimont advances unopposed in her party's primary. These structural factors, including historical voting patterns and limited Democratic competitiveness in the Panhandle district, underpin trader consensus around an elevated Republican probability. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the outlook in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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