Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 72% implied probability ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Republican based on its voter composition and consistent electoral history. The filing deadline of June 12, 2026, and August 18 primaries will determine the major-party candidates, but no recent polling shifts or candidate announcements have altered the established partisan baseline. The Democratic nominee faces structural barriers typical of the district, keeping the race non-competitive in current assessments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$110,377 交易量
$110,377 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
76%
民主党
42%
$110,377 交易量
$110,377 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$85,918 交易量
76%
民主党
$24,459 交易量
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 72% implied probability ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Republican based on its voter composition and consistent electoral history. The filing deadline of June 12, 2026, and August 18 primaries will determine the major-party candidates, but no recent polling shifts or candidate announcements have altered the established partisan baseline. The Democratic nominee faces structural barriers typical of the district, keeping the race non-competitive in current assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$110,377结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 72% implied probability ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Republican based on its voter composition and consistent electoral history. The filing deadline of June 12, 2026, and August 18 primaries will determine the major-party candidates, but no recent polling shifts or candidate announcements have altered the established partisan baseline. The Democratic nominee faces structural barriers typical of the district, keeping the race non-competitive in current assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$110,377结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 72% implied probability ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Republican based on its voter composition and consistent electoral history. The filing deadline of June 12, 2026, and August 18 primaries will determine the major-party candidates, but no recent polling shifts or candidate announcements have altered the established partisan baseline. The Democratic nominee faces structural barriers typical of the district, keeping the race non-competitive in current assessments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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