India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on April 15 under clear skies transitioning to mainly clear, closely matching trader sentiment with 40°C at 42% implied probability and 39°C at 35%. Recent observations show a sharp warming trend after early-April cool spells—36.1°C max on April 13 rose to 38.1°C yesterday (near normal)—driven by persistent dry anticyclonic conditions, low humidity (40-60%), and strengthening winds intensifying heat across Uttar Pradesh. Differentiating factors include potential urban heat island effects, afternoon solar insolation peaks, and hazy skies limiting cooling, which could nudge the high to 40°C; no heatwave warning yet, but real-time airport readings today will resolve uncertainties in model consensus. IMD anticipates further rises to 40°C+ next week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 15?
40°C 42%
39°C 35%
41°C 13%
38°C 5.3%
$34,852 交易量
$34,852 交易量
37°C or below
1%
38°C
5%
39°C
35%
40°C
42%
41°C
13%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
40°C 42%
39°C 35%
41°C 13%
38°C 5.3%
$34,852 交易量
$34,852 交易量
37°C or below
1%
38°C
5%
39°C
35%
40°C
42%
41°C
13%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on April 15 under clear skies transitioning to mainly clear, closely matching trader sentiment with 40°C at 42% implied probability and 39°C at 35%. Recent observations show a sharp warming trend after early-April cool spells—36.1°C max on April 13 rose to 38.1°C yesterday (near normal)—driven by persistent dry anticyclonic conditions, low humidity (40-60%), and strengthening winds intensifying heat across Uttar Pradesh. Differentiating factors include potential urban heat island effects, afternoon solar insolation peaks, and hazy skies limiting cooling, which could nudge the high to 40°C; no heatwave warning yet, but real-time airport readings today will resolve uncertainties in model consensus. IMD anticipates further rises to 40°C+ next week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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