Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 25°C (42.5%) or 26°C (29.5%) for Madrid on April 16, driven by AEMET's official forecast projecting a maximum of 24°C under clear skies and light NE winds at 10 km/h, alongside international models like ECMWF and GFS aligning near 25-26°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent observations on April 15 show highs near 23-24°C with sunny conditions, consistent with springtime warming trends above the April historical average of 18-20°C, fueled by increasing solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. Ensemble model runs updated in the last 24 hours indicate low precipitation risk (0-1%) and slight upside potential for 26°C if winds remain light, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists ahead of final observations from Madrid-Barajas Airport. New AEMET updates expected overnight could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on April 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 16?
25°C 45%
26°C 22%
24°C 22%
27°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C
22%
25°C
45%
26°C
22%
27°C
10%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
2%
25°C 45%
26°C 22%
24°C 22%
27°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
20°C or below
$292 交易量
1%
21°C
$144 交易量
1%
22°C
$239 交易量
3%
23°C
$184 交易量
2%
24°C
$160 交易量
22%
25°C
$240 交易量
45%
26°C
$190 交易量
22%
27°C
$154 交易量
10%
28°C
$144 交易量
3%
29°C
$152 交易量
1%
30°C or higher
$207 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 25°C (42.5%) or 26°C (29.5%) for Madrid on April 16, driven by AEMET's official forecast projecting a maximum of 24°C under clear skies and light NE winds at 10 km/h, alongside international models like ECMWF and GFS aligning near 25-26°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent observations on April 15 show highs near 23-24°C with sunny conditions, consistent with springtime warming trends above the April historical average of 18-20°C, fueled by increasing solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. Ensemble model runs updated in the last 24 hours indicate low precipitation risk (0-1%) and slight upside potential for 26°C if winds remain light, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists ahead of final observations from Madrid-Barajas Airport. New AEMET updates expected overnight could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
交易量
$2,106结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:18 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 25°C (42.5%) or 26°C (29.5%) for Madrid on April 16, driven by AEMET's official forecast projecting a maximum of 24°C under clear skies and light NE winds at 10 km/h, alongside international models like ECMWF and GFS aligning near 25-26°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent observations on April 15 show highs near 23-24°C with sunny conditions, consistent with springtime warming trends above the April historical average of 18-20°C, fueled by increasing solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. Ensemble model runs updated in the last 24 hours indicate low precipitation risk (0-1%) and slight upside potential for 26°C if winds remain light, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists ahead of final observations from Madrid-Barajas Airport. New AEMET updates expected overnight could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,106结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:18 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 25°C (42.5%) or 26°C (29.5%) for Madrid on April 16, driven by AEMET's official forecast projecting a maximum of 24°C under clear skies and light NE winds at 10 km/h, alongside international models like ECMWF and GFS aligning near 25-26°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent observations on April 15 show highs near 23-24°C with sunny conditions, consistent with springtime warming trends above the April historical average of 18-20°C, fueled by increasing solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. Ensemble model runs updated in the last 24 hours indicate low precipitation risk (0-1%) and slight upside potential for 26°C if winds remain light, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists ahead of final observations from Madrid-Barajas Airport. New AEMET updates expected overnight could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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