Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 78% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, on April 12, driven by the latest forecast models projecting peaks of 91–94°F (33–34°C) at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, the market's resolution station via Weather Underground. This positioning reflects strong agreement among global models like GFS and ECMWF, favoring persistent high pressure, ample solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover amid April's transition from dry season—when average highs reach 32°C. Recent observations show April 11 temperatures approaching 33°C, reinforcing the hot pattern. While stray thunderstorms could temper peaks below 32°C (18.5% odds on exactly 31°C), low precipitation risk supports the leading outcome; watch afternoon model updates for final refinements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Panama City on April 12?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 12?
32°C or higher 79%
31°C 21%
30°C 2.1%
29°C 1.9%
最新
最新
2026-04-12
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
79%
32°C or higher 79%
31°C 21%
30°C 2.1%
29°C 1.9%
最新
最新
2026-04-12
22°C or below
$1,079 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,725 交易量
<1%
24°C
$492 交易量
<1%
25°C
$455 交易量
<1%
26°C
$651 交易量
<1%
27°C
$418 交易量
<1%
28°C
$298 交易量
1%
29°C
$604 交易量
2%
30°C
$231 交易量
2%
31°C
$308 交易量
21%
32°C or higher
$664 交易量
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 78% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, on April 12, driven by the latest forecast models projecting peaks of 91–94°F (33–34°C) at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, the market's resolution station via Weather Underground. This positioning reflects strong agreement among global models like GFS and ECMWF, favoring persistent high pressure, ample solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover amid April's transition from dry season—when average highs reach 32°C. Recent observations show April 11 temperatures approaching 33°C, reinforcing the hot pattern. While stray thunderstorms could temper peaks below 32°C (18.5% odds on exactly 31°C), low precipitation risk supports the leading outcome; watch afternoon model updates for final refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
交易量
$7,925结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:44 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 78% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, on April 12, driven by the latest forecast models projecting peaks of 91–94°F (33–34°C) at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, the market's resolution station via Weather Underground. This positioning reflects strong agreement among global models like GFS and ECMWF, favoring persistent high pressure, ample solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover amid April's transition from dry season—when average highs reach 32°C. Recent observations show April 11 temperatures approaching 33°C, reinforcing the hot pattern. While stray thunderstorms could temper peaks below 32°C (18.5% odds on exactly 31°C), low precipitation risk supports the leading outcome; watch afternoon model updates for final refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,925结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:44 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 78% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, on April 12, driven by the latest forecast models projecting peaks of 91–94°F (33–34°C) at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, the market's resolution station via Weather Underground. This positioning reflects strong agreement among global models like GFS and ECMWF, favoring persistent high pressure, ample solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover amid April's transition from dry season—when average highs reach 32°C. Recent observations show April 11 temperatures approaching 33°C, reinforcing the hot pattern. While stray thunderstorms could temper peaks below 32°C (18.5% odds on exactly 31°C), low precipitation risk supports the leading outcome; watch afternoon model updates for final refinements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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