Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "33°C or higher" at a 70% implied probability for Panama City's peak temperature on April 13, driven by the latest forecast model runs projecting highs near 33–34°C (92°F) at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG), the market's resolution source. This reflects persistent subtropical ridging over Central America, suppressing convection and enabling prolonged solar insolation during the late dry season transition, with minimal cloud cover and light winds forecasted. Recent observations at MPMG show warming trends, with April 11's high of 29°C (84°F) amid partly cloudy skies, aligning with historical April averages around 32°C but exceeding baselines due to current high-pressure dominance. Updated guidance from services like Weather Underground anticipates partly sunny conditions, though isolated thunderstorms could trim peaks; watch daily model ensembles and METAR reports for shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Panama City on April 13?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 13?
33°C or higher 72%
32°C 14%
31°C 11%
30°C <1%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
11%
32°C
14%
33°C or higher
72%
33°C or higher 72%
32°C 14%
31°C 11%
30°C <1%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
11%
32°C
14%
33°C or higher
72%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "33°C or higher" at a 70% implied probability for Panama City's peak temperature on April 13, driven by the latest forecast model runs projecting highs near 33–34°C (92°F) at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG), the market's resolution source. This reflects persistent subtropical ridging over Central America, suppressing convection and enabling prolonged solar insolation during the late dry season transition, with minimal cloud cover and light winds forecasted. Recent observations at MPMG show warming trends, with April 11's high of 29°C (84°F) amid partly cloudy skies, aligning with historical April averages around 32°C but exceeding baselines due to current high-pressure dominance. Updated guidance from services like Weather Underground anticipates partly sunny conditions, though isolated thunderstorms could trim peaks; watch daily model ensembles and METAR reports for shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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