Official observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris station—the authoritative reference for Paris temperatures—confirm the highest temperature on April 10, 2026, reached only 16°C amid persistent cloud cover and a cool northerly airflow, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Météo-France models that converged on maxima near 15–17°C. This outcome reflects early April climatological norms, with historical averages around 15°C, reinforced by overcast conditions suppressing solar heating. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "18°C or below" stems from this verified data, leaving negligible room for revision; only an unprecedented measurement correction from official archives could challenge it, though such events are exceedingly rare.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Paris on April 10?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 10?
18°C or below 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$219,168 交易量
$219,168 交易量
18°C or below
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
18°C or below 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$219,168 交易量
$219,168 交易量
18°C or below
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Official observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris station—the authoritative reference for Paris temperatures—confirm the highest temperature on April 10, 2026, reached only 16°C amid persistent cloud cover and a cool northerly airflow, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Météo-France models that converged on maxima near 15–17°C. This outcome reflects early April climatological norms, with historical averages around 15°C, reinforced by overcast conditions suppressing solar heating. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "18°C or below" stems from this verified data, leaving negligible room for revision; only an unprecedented measurement correction from official archives could challenge it, though such events are exceedingly rare.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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