Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop, serving since 1993, secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the May 19 primary for Georgia's 2nd Congressional District, while Republican businessman Matt Day advanced as the GOP nominee. The district's established Democratic lean—rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report—stems from its demographics in southwest Georgia's Black Belt region and consistent past results favoring the party. Traders price Democratic victory at 92.5% based on this structural advantage, the incumbent's long record, and limited competitiveness in recent cycles. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts such as major redistricting before November 2026, a significant scandal, or an unprecedented national partisan swing that alters turnout in this safely Democratic seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,918 Vol.
$19,918 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$19,918 Vol.
$19,918 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$9,679 Vol.
93%
共和党
$10,239 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop, serving since 1993, secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the May 19 primary for Georgia's 2nd Congressional District, while Republican businessman Matt Day advanced as the GOP nominee. The district's established Democratic lean—rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report—stems from its demographics in southwest Georgia's Black Belt region and consistent past results favoring the party. Traders price Democratic victory at 92.5% based on this structural advantage, the incumbent's long record, and limited competitiveness in recent cycles. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts such as major redistricting before November 2026, a significant scandal, or an unprecedented national partisan swing that alters turnout in this safely Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$19,918終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop, serving since 1993, secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the May 19 primary for Georgia's 2nd Congressional District, while Republican businessman Matt Day advanced as the GOP nominee. The district's established Democratic lean—rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report—stems from its demographics in southwest Georgia's Black Belt region and consistent past results favoring the party. Traders price Democratic victory at 92.5% based on this structural advantage, the incumbent's long record, and limited competitiveness in recent cycles. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts such as major redistricting before November 2026, a significant scandal, or an unprecedented national partisan swing that alters turnout in this safely Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$19,918終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop, serving since 1993, secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the May 19 primary for Georgia's 2nd Congressional District, while Republican businessman Matt Day advanced as the GOP nominee. The district's established Democratic lean—rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report—stems from its demographics in southwest Georgia's Black Belt region and consistent past results favoring the party. Traders price Democratic victory at 92.5% based on this structural advantage, the incumbent's long record, and limited competitiveness in recent cycles. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts such as major redistricting before November 2026, a significant scandal, or an unprecedented national partisan swing that alters turnout in this safely Democratic seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問