The open seat in Michigan’s 10th congressional district, following Republican incumbent John James’s decision to run for governor, has positioned the race as a key battleground for House control in the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+3 partisan voter index and recent Republican wins reflect its underlying lean, yet trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 67.5% over the Republican Party at 45% stems from active Democratic primary contenders such as Christina Hines and Eric Chung mounting competitive challenges, early polling showing tight head-to-head matchups, and the August 4 primaries determining nominees in a seat last held by Democrats decades ago. Race ratings range from toss-up to lean Republican across forecasters, underscoring uncertainty ahead of the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
52%
Republican Party
44%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$722 거래량
52%
Republican Party
$243 거래량
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan’s 10th congressional district, following Republican incumbent John James’s decision to run for governor, has positioned the race as a key battleground for House control in the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+3 partisan voter index and recent Republican wins reflect its underlying lean, yet trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 67.5% over the Republican Party at 45% stems from active Democratic primary contenders such as Christina Hines and Eric Chung mounting competitive challenges, early polling showing tight head-to-head matchups, and the August 4 primaries determining nominees in a seat last held by Democrats decades ago. Race ratings range from toss-up to lean Republican across forecasters, underscoring uncertainty ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
거래량
$964종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan’s 10th congressional district, following Republican incumbent John James’s decision to run for governor, has positioned the race as a key battleground for House control in the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+3 partisan voter index and recent Republican wins reflect its underlying lean, yet trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 67.5% over the Republican Party at 45% stems from active Democratic primary contenders such as Christina Hines and Eric Chung mounting competitive challenges, early polling showing tight head-to-head matchups, and the August 4 primaries determining nominees in a seat last held by Democrats decades ago. Race ratings range from toss-up to lean Republican across forecasters, underscoring uncertainty ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$964종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Michigan’s 10th congressional district, following Republican incumbent John James’s decision to run for governor, has positioned the race as a key battleground for House control in the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+3 partisan voter index and recent Republican wins reflect its underlying lean, yet trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 67.5% over the Republican Party at 45% stems from active Democratic primary contenders such as Christina Hines and Eric Chung mounting competitive challenges, early polling showing tight head-to-head matchups, and the August 4 primaries determining nominees in a seat last held by Democrats decades ago. Race ratings range from toss-up to lean Republican across forecasters, underscoring uncertainty ahead of the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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