In Michigan's 10th Congressional District, an open seat created by Republican Rep. John James's gubernatorial bid has fueled trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 66.5% implied probability to win the November 3 general election. Eric Chung leads the crowded Democratic primary field with superior Q1 2026 fundraising—$335,700 raised and $930,500 cash on hand—bolstering his frontrunner status ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. A fragmented Republican primary, where Michael Bouchard ($847,000 cash on hand) narrowed the gap with Robert Lulgjuraj ($822,000), risks a weakened nominee in this Lean Republican-leaning district per Cook Political Report. Recent first-quarter filings released April 15 underscore Democrats' financial edge, driving the shift despite mixed ratings like Sabato's toss-up.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
68%
Republican Party
34%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$627 거래량
68%
Republican Party
$206 거래량
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Michigan's 10th Congressional District, an open seat created by Republican Rep. John James's gubernatorial bid has fueled trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 66.5% implied probability to win the November 3 general election. Eric Chung leads the crowded Democratic primary field with superior Q1 2026 fundraising—$335,700 raised and $930,500 cash on hand—bolstering his frontrunner status ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. A fragmented Republican primary, where Michael Bouchard ($847,000 cash on hand) narrowed the gap with Robert Lulgjuraj ($822,000), risks a weakened nominee in this Lean Republican-leaning district per Cook Political Report. Recent first-quarter filings released April 15 underscore Democrats' financial edge, driving the shift despite mixed ratings like Sabato's toss-up.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
거래량
$833종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Michigan's 10th Congressional District, an open seat created by Republican Rep. John James's gubernatorial bid has fueled trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 66.5% implied probability to win the November 3 general election. Eric Chung leads the crowded Democratic primary field with superior Q1 2026 fundraising—$335,700 raised and $930,500 cash on hand—bolstering his frontrunner status ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. A fragmented Republican primary, where Michael Bouchard ($847,000 cash on hand) narrowed the gap with Robert Lulgjuraj ($822,000), risks a weakened nominee in this Lean Republican-leaning district per Cook Political Report. Recent first-quarter filings released April 15 underscore Democrats' financial edge, driving the shift despite mixed ratings like Sabato's toss-up.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$833종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Michigan's 10th Congressional District, an open seat created by Republican Rep. John James's gubernatorial bid has fueled trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 66.5% implied probability to win the November 3 general election. Eric Chung leads the crowded Democratic primary field with superior Q1 2026 fundraising—$335,700 raised and $930,500 cash on hand—bolstering his frontrunner status ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. A fragmented Republican primary, where Michael Bouchard ($847,000 cash on hand) narrowed the gap with Robert Lulgjuraj ($822,000), risks a weakened nominee in this Lean Republican-leaning district per Cook Political Report. Recent first-quarter filings released April 15 underscore Democrats' financial edge, driving the shift despite mixed ratings like Sabato's toss-up.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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