Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi, first elected in a 2024 special election and re-elected that November with 51.8% of the vote, anchors the Democratic position in NY-03. The North Shore Nassau County and northeast Queens district carries a Lean Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts, though it remains competitive following a narrow 2024 margin and Republican targeting of the seat. Suozzi maintains a substantial fundraising edge and faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican primary contenders Michael LiPetri Jr. and Greg Hach vie for the nomination. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and the district's partisan voting index in a midterm cycle, tempered by the seat's underlying volatility.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
45%
Democratic Party
53%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$160 거래량
45%
Democratic Party
$800 거래량
53%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi, first elected in a 2024 special election and re-elected that November with 51.8% of the vote, anchors the Democratic position in NY-03. The North Shore Nassau County and northeast Queens district carries a Lean Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts, though it remains competitive following a narrow 2024 margin and Republican targeting of the seat. Suozzi maintains a substantial fundraising edge and faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican primary contenders Michael LiPetri Jr. and Greg Hach vie for the nomination. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and the district's partisan voting index in a midterm cycle, tempered by the seat's underlying volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
거래량
$960종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi, first elected in a 2024 special election and re-elected that November with 51.8% of the vote, anchors the Democratic position in NY-03. The North Shore Nassau County and northeast Queens district carries a Lean Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts, though it remains competitive following a narrow 2024 margin and Republican targeting of the seat. Suozzi maintains a substantial fundraising edge and faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican primary contenders Michael LiPetri Jr. and Greg Hach vie for the nomination. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and the district's partisan voting index in a midterm cycle, tempered by the seat's underlying volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$960종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi, first elected in a 2024 special election and re-elected that November with 51.8% of the vote, anchors the Democratic position in NY-03. The North Shore Nassau County and northeast Queens district carries a Lean Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts, though it remains competitive following a narrow 2024 margin and Republican targeting of the seat. Suozzi maintains a substantial fundraising edge and faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican primary contenders Michael LiPetri Jr. and Greg Hach vie for the nomination. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and the district's partisan voting index in a midterm cycle, tempered by the seat's underlying volatility.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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