Democratic incumbent Tom Suozzi holds a moderate edge in New York's 3rd congressional district ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Suozzi, who captured the seat in 2024 with 51.8 percent, benefits from strong cash reserves exceeding $5 million and established name recognition on Long Island. Republicans have fielded primary challengers but face structural hurdles in a district with a slight Democratic tilt and recent voter patterns favoring the incumbent party. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, pricing Democratic retention well ahead of a Republican flip while leaving room for shifts from primary outcomes or late-cycle national trends.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
5%
Democratic Party
52%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$160 거래량
5%
Democratic Party
$800 거래량
52%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Tom Suozzi holds a moderate edge in New York's 3rd congressional district ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Suozzi, who captured the seat in 2024 with 51.8 percent, benefits from strong cash reserves exceeding $5 million and established name recognition on Long Island. Republicans have fielded primary challengers but face structural hurdles in a district with a slight Democratic tilt and recent voter patterns favoring the incumbent party. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, pricing Democratic retention well ahead of a Republican flip while leaving room for shifts from primary outcomes or late-cycle national trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
거래량
$960종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Tom Suozzi holds a moderate edge in New York's 3rd congressional district ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Suozzi, who captured the seat in 2024 with 51.8 percent, benefits from strong cash reserves exceeding $5 million and established name recognition on Long Island. Republicans have fielded primary challengers but face structural hurdles in a district with a slight Democratic tilt and recent voter patterns favoring the incumbent party. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, pricing Democratic retention well ahead of a Republican flip while leaving room for shifts from primary outcomes or late-cycle national trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$960종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Tom Suozzi holds a moderate edge in New York's 3rd congressional district ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Suozzi, who captured the seat in 2024 with 51.8 percent, benefits from strong cash reserves exceeding $5 million and established name recognition on Long Island. Republicans have fielded primary challengers but face structural hurdles in a district with a slight Democratic tilt and recent voter patterns favoring the incumbent party. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, pricing Democratic retention well ahead of a Republican flip while leaving room for shifts from primary outcomes or late-cycle national trends.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문