**NY-11's Republican incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position ahead of the November 2026 general election.** The district, which covers Staten Island and parts of southern Brooklyn, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has trended further right in recent cycles, with Malliotakis securing 64.1% in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, reflecting the incumbent's established base among working-class voters and limited Democratic infrastructure. Democratic candidates Michael DeCillis and Allison Ziogas are set to compete in the June 23 primary, after which the nominee will face Malliotakis. Ongoing litigation over district lines reached the Supreme Court earlier this year, but the Court stayed lower-court changes, preserving the current map for the cycle. No major new polling has shifted the outlook, leaving trader consensus aligned with the district's structural Republican advantage and the absence of competitive headwinds for the incumbent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,692 거래량
$14,692 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
11%
$14,692 거래량
$14,692 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$8,160 거래량
87%
Democratic Party
$6,532 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**NY-11's Republican incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position ahead of the November 2026 general election.** The district, which covers Staten Island and parts of southern Brooklyn, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has trended further right in recent cycles, with Malliotakis securing 64.1% in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, reflecting the incumbent's established base among working-class voters and limited Democratic infrastructure.
Democratic candidates Michael DeCillis and Allison Ziogas are set to compete in the June 23 primary, after which the nominee will face Malliotakis. Ongoing litigation over district lines reached the Supreme Court earlier this year, but the Court stayed lower-court changes, preserving the current map for the cycle. No major new polling has shifted the outlook, leaving trader consensus aligned with the district's structural Republican advantage and the absence of competitive headwinds for the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
거래량
$14,692종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**NY-11's Republican incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position ahead of the November 2026 general election.** The district, which covers Staten Island and parts of southern Brooklyn, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has trended further right in recent cycles, with Malliotakis securing 64.1% in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, reflecting the incumbent's established base among working-class voters and limited Democratic infrastructure.
Democratic candidates Michael DeCillis and Allison Ziogas are set to compete in the June 23 primary, after which the nominee will face Malliotakis. Ongoing litigation over district lines reached the Supreme Court earlier this year, but the Court stayed lower-court changes, preserving the current map for the cycle. No major new polling has shifted the outlook, leaving trader consensus aligned with the district's structural Republican advantage and the absence of competitive headwinds for the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,692종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**NY-11's Republican incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position ahead of the November 2026 general election.** The district, which covers Staten Island and parts of southern Brooklyn, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has trended further right in recent cycles, with Malliotakis securing 64.1% in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, reflecting the incumbent's established base among working-class voters and limited Democratic infrastructure. Democratic candidates Michael DeCillis and Allison Ziogas are set to compete in the June 23 primary, after which the nominee will face Malliotakis. Ongoing litigation over district lines reached the Supreme Court earlier this year, but the Court stayed lower-court changes, preserving the current map for the cycle. No major new polling has shifted the outlook, leaving trader consensus aligned with the district's structural Republican advantage and the absence of competitive headwinds for the incumbent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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