Incumbent Republican David Taylor's commanding position in Ohio's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly conservative seat deepened into rural Appalachia by October 2025 redistricting, drives trader consensus at 92% for the Republican Party ahead of the November general election. Taylor faces minimal threat in the May 5 Republican primary from challenger Bob Carr, while Democrats Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson compete in a low-profile primary with limited resources or name recognition in this historically GOP stronghold. Recent candidate announcements have solidified the field's contours without shifting fundamentals. Potential challenges include a GOP primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, scandals, health issues, or a national Democratic wave boosting turnout in battleground states, though such shifts remain low-probability given district precedents.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$50,817 거래량
$50,817 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
92%
민주당
7%
$50,817 거래량
$50,817 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$16,325 거래량
92%
민주당
$34,491 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Taylor's commanding position in Ohio's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly conservative seat deepened into rural Appalachia by October 2025 redistricting, drives trader consensus at 92% for the Republican Party ahead of the November general election. Taylor faces minimal threat in the May 5 Republican primary from challenger Bob Carr, while Democrats Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson compete in a low-profile primary with limited resources or name recognition in this historically GOP stronghold. Recent candidate announcements have solidified the field's contours without shifting fundamentals. Potential challenges include a GOP primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, scandals, health issues, or a national Democratic wave boosting turnout in battleground states, though such shifts remain low-probability given district precedents.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$50,817종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Taylor's commanding position in Ohio's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly conservative seat deepened into rural Appalachia by October 2025 redistricting, drives trader consensus at 92% for the Republican Party ahead of the November general election. Taylor faces minimal threat in the May 5 Republican primary from challenger Bob Carr, while Democrats Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson compete in a low-profile primary with limited resources or name recognition in this historically GOP stronghold. Recent candidate announcements have solidified the field's contours without shifting fundamentals. Potential challenges include a GOP primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, scandals, health issues, or a national Democratic wave boosting turnout in battleground states, though such shifts remain low-probability given district precedents.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$50,817종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Taylor's commanding position in Ohio's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly conservative seat deepened into rural Appalachia by October 2025 redistricting, drives trader consensus at 92% for the Republican Party ahead of the November general election. Taylor faces minimal threat in the May 5 Republican primary from challenger Bob Carr, while Democrats Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson compete in a low-profile primary with limited resources or name recognition in this historically GOP stronghold. Recent candidate announcements have solidified the field's contours without shifting fundamentals. Potential challenges include a GOP primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, scandals, health issues, or a national Democratic wave boosting turnout in battleground states, though such shifts remain low-probability given district precedents.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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