Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 90.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Summer Lee's entrenched position in this Pittsburgh-area stronghold with a strong Democratic lean, where she secured reelection in 2024 by a double-digit margin. Recent developments bolstering her lead include the March 10 withdrawal of a key Democratic primary challenger, the Turtle Creek mayor, and a March 30 endorsement from the Working Families Party, smoothing her path ahead of the May 19 primary. No high-profile Republican has emerged to challenge 2024 nominee James Hayes's prior performance. Realistic shifts could arise from a primary upset, major scandal involving Lee, emergence of a strong GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave favoring President Trump's party on November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$963 거래량
91%
Republican Party
$0 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 90.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Summer Lee's entrenched position in this Pittsburgh-area stronghold with a strong Democratic lean, where she secured reelection in 2024 by a double-digit margin. Recent developments bolstering her lead include the March 10 withdrawal of a key Democratic primary challenger, the Turtle Creek mayor, and a March 30 endorsement from the Working Families Party, smoothing her path ahead of the May 19 primary. No high-profile Republican has emerged to challenge 2024 nominee James Hayes's prior performance. Realistic shifts could arise from a primary upset, major scandal involving Lee, emergence of a strong GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave favoring President Trump's party on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$963종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 90.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Summer Lee's entrenched position in this Pittsburgh-area stronghold with a strong Democratic lean, where she secured reelection in 2024 by a double-digit margin. Recent developments bolstering her lead include the March 10 withdrawal of a key Democratic primary challenger, the Turtle Creek mayor, and a March 30 endorsement from the Working Families Party, smoothing her path ahead of the May 19 primary. No high-profile Republican has emerged to challenge 2024 nominee James Hayes's prior performance. Realistic shifts could arise from a primary upset, major scandal involving Lee, emergence of a strong GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave favoring President Trump's party on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$963종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 90.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Summer Lee's entrenched position in this Pittsburgh-area stronghold with a strong Democratic lean, where she secured reelection in 2024 by a double-digit margin. Recent developments bolstering her lead include the March 10 withdrawal of a key Democratic primary challenger, the Turtle Creek mayor, and a March 30 endorsement from the Working Families Party, smoothing her path ahead of the May 19 primary. No high-profile Republican has emerged to challenge 2024 nominee James Hayes's prior performance. Realistic shifts could arise from a primary upset, major scandal involving Lee, emergence of a strong GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave favoring President Trump's party on November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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