Tennessee’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in the Knoxville area, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17 that has held steady through recent redistricting. Incumbent Representative Tim Burchett faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest and is expected to advance easily to the November general election against Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent GOP performance in presidential and down-ballot voting. Traders price the Republican outcome near 93 percent because the district’s partisan composition, Burchett’s established incumbency advantage, and the absence of any competitive Democratic infrastructure or polling movement leave little realistic path for an upset. A national political environment shift of historic proportions or an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent would be required to meaningfully alter the current consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$24,592 거래량
$24,592 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
94%
민주당
7%
$24,592 거래량
$24,592 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$19,023 거래량
94%
민주당
$5,569 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in the Knoxville area, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17 that has held steady through recent redistricting. Incumbent Representative Tim Burchett faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest and is expected to advance easily to the November general election against Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent GOP performance in presidential and down-ballot voting. Traders price the Republican outcome near 93 percent because the district’s partisan composition, Burchett’s established incumbency advantage, and the absence of any competitive Democratic infrastructure or polling movement leave little realistic path for an upset. A national political environment shift of historic proportions or an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent would be required to meaningfully alter the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$24,592종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in the Knoxville area, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17 that has held steady through recent redistricting. Incumbent Representative Tim Burchett faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest and is expected to advance easily to the November general election against Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent GOP performance in presidential and down-ballot voting. Traders price the Republican outcome near 93 percent because the district’s partisan composition, Burchett’s established incumbency advantage, and the absence of any competitive Democratic infrastructure or polling movement leave little realistic path for an upset. A national political environment shift of historic proportions or an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent would be required to meaningfully alter the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$24,592종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in the Knoxville area, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17 that has held steady through recent redistricting. Incumbent Representative Tim Burchett faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest and is expected to advance easily to the November general election against Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent GOP performance in presidential and down-ballot voting. Traders price the Republican outcome near 93 percent because the district’s partisan composition, Burchett’s established incumbency advantage, and the absence of any competitive Democratic infrastructure or polling movement leave little realistic path for an upset. A national political environment shift of historic proportions or an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent would be required to meaningfully alter the current consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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