The Knoxville-anchored TN-02 district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent R+17 or greater partisan voting indexes and solid ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins traders' overwhelming consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Tim Burchett faces no serious primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest and benefits from established name recognition plus fundraising dominance in a region with limited Democratic infrastructure. The general-election Democratic candidate, Michaela Barnett, confronts structural headwinds typical of this East Tennessee seat. A major scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or late redistricting shift could narrow the gap, though current conditions show few catalysts for such movement before the November 3 vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$24,592 거래량
$24,592 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
94%
민주당
7%
$24,592 거래량
$24,592 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$19,023 거래량
94%
민주당
$5,569 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Knoxville-anchored TN-02 district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent R+17 or greater partisan voting indexes and solid ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins traders' overwhelming consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Tim Burchett faces no serious primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest and benefits from established name recognition plus fundraising dominance in a region with limited Democratic infrastructure. The general-election Democratic candidate, Michaela Barnett, confronts structural headwinds typical of this East Tennessee seat. A major scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or late redistricting shift could narrow the gap, though current conditions show few catalysts for such movement before the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$24,592종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Knoxville-anchored TN-02 district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent R+17 or greater partisan voting indexes and solid ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins traders' overwhelming consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Tim Burchett faces no serious primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest and benefits from established name recognition plus fundraising dominance in a region with limited Democratic infrastructure. The general-election Democratic candidate, Michaela Barnett, confronts structural headwinds typical of this East Tennessee seat. A major scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or late redistricting shift could narrow the gap, though current conditions show few catalysts for such movement before the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$24,592종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Knoxville-anchored TN-02 district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent R+17 or greater partisan voting indexes and solid ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins traders' overwhelming consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Tim Burchett faces no serious primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest and benefits from established name recognition plus fundraising dominance in a region with limited Democratic infrastructure. The general-election Democratic candidate, Michaela Barnett, confronts structural headwinds typical of this East Tennessee seat. A major scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or late redistricting shift could narrow the gap, though current conditions show few catalysts for such movement before the November 3 vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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