Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 2nd congressional district, a Knoxville-anchored area in eastern Tennessee long rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Recent redistricting in May 2026 left the district's partisan composition largely unchanged, while Burchett faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 6 vote and a weak Democratic challenger in Michaela Barnett for the November general. Traders price Republican victory above 93 percent, reflecting the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, the incumbent's established name recognition, and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter sentiment. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates in similar districts suggest limited pathways for an upset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$24,592 거래량
$24,592 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
94%
민주당
7%
$24,592 거래량
$24,592 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$19,023 거래량
94%
민주당
$5,569 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 2nd congressional district, a Knoxville-anchored area in eastern Tennessee long rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Recent redistricting in May 2026 left the district's partisan composition largely unchanged, while Burchett faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 6 vote and a weak Democratic challenger in Michaela Barnett for the November general. Traders price Republican victory above 93 percent, reflecting the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, the incumbent's established name recognition, and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter sentiment. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates in similar districts suggest limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$24,592종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 2nd congressional district, a Knoxville-anchored area in eastern Tennessee long rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Recent redistricting in May 2026 left the district's partisan composition largely unchanged, while Burchett faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 6 vote and a weak Democratic challenger in Michaela Barnett for the November general. Traders price Republican victory above 93 percent, reflecting the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, the incumbent's established name recognition, and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter sentiment. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates in similar districts suggest limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$24,592종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 2nd congressional district, a Knoxville-anchored area in eastern Tennessee long rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Recent redistricting in May 2026 left the district's partisan composition largely unchanged, while Burchett faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 6 vote and a weak Democratic challenger in Michaela Barnett for the November general. Traders price Republican victory above 93 percent, reflecting the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, the incumbent's established name recognition, and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter sentiment. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates in similar districts suggest limited pathways for an upset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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