Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17. Burchett, who won re-election in 2024 with 69.3% amid a Trump endorsement, faces no Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 6, 2026, primary and presumptive Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett, who trails significantly in fundraising with $16,615 cash on hand versus Burchett's $563,127 as of late 2025. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans reflects the district's entrenched GOP lean, incumbency advantage, and lack of competitive dynamics post-March 10 filing deadline. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Burchett scandal, abrupt retirement, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm wave before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,081 거래량
$19,081 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$19,081 거래량
$19,081 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$16,267 거래량
94%
Democratic Party
$2,814 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17. Burchett, who won re-election in 2024 with 69.3% amid a Trump endorsement, faces no Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 6, 2026, primary and presumptive Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett, who trails significantly in fundraising with $16,615 cash on hand versus Burchett's $563,127 as of late 2025. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans reflects the district's entrenched GOP lean, incumbency advantage, and lack of competitive dynamics post-March 10 filing deadline. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Burchett scandal, abrupt retirement, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$19,081종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17. Burchett, who won re-election in 2024 with 69.3% amid a Trump endorsement, faces no Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 6, 2026, primary and presumptive Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett, who trails significantly in fundraising with $16,615 cash on hand versus Burchett's $563,127 as of late 2025. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans reflects the district's entrenched GOP lean, incumbency advantage, and lack of competitive dynamics post-March 10 filing deadline. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Burchett scandal, abrupt retirement, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$19,081종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+17. Burchett, who won re-election in 2024 with 69.3% amid a Trump endorsement, faces no Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 6, 2026, primary and presumptive Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett, who trails significantly in fundraising with $16,615 cash on hand versus Burchett's $563,127 as of late 2025. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans reflects the district's entrenched GOP lean, incumbency advantage, and lack of competitive dynamics post-March 10 filing deadline. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Burchett scandal, abrupt retirement, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm wave before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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