Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 18°C (39.5% implied probability) and 19°C (32.0%) for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest KNMI short-range forecast of a maximum 18°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds (force 2), and 40% sunshine—conditions favoring moderate afternoon heating without excessive solar insolation. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show a 2–3°C spread around 18–20°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud fraction and boundary layer mixing that could push peaks higher during prolonged sun breaks. This warm spell, fueled by a high-pressure ridge, exceeds mid-April norms of 13°C, with dry air (near-zero precipitation chance) minimizing cooling. Hourly KNMI updates and observations will sharpen resolution based on official airport station data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
18°C 40%
19°C 35%
20°C 16%
17°C 11%
最新
$14,237 交易量
最新
$14,237 交易量
2026-04-17
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
11%
18°C
40%
19°C
35%
20°C
16%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 40%
19°C 35%
20°C 16%
17°C 11%
最新
$14,237 交易量
最新
$14,237 交易量
2026-04-17
12°C or below
$1,411 交易量
<1%
13°C
$2,258 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,704 交易量
1%
15°C
$1,676 交易量
1%
16°C
$1,980 交易量
2%
17°C
$1,855 交易量
11%
18°C
$378 交易量
40%
19°C
$547 交易量
35%
20°C
$197 交易量
16%
21°C
$959 交易量
4%
22°C or higher
$1,277 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 18°C (39.5% implied probability) and 19°C (32.0%) for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest KNMI short-range forecast of a maximum 18°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds (force 2), and 40% sunshine—conditions favoring moderate afternoon heating without excessive solar insolation. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show a 2–3°C spread around 18–20°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud fraction and boundary layer mixing that could push peaks higher during prolonged sun breaks. This warm spell, fueled by a high-pressure ridge, exceeds mid-April norms of 13°C, with dry air (near-zero precipitation chance) minimizing cooling. Hourly KNMI updates and observations will sharpen resolution based on official airport station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
交易量
$14,237結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 18°C (39.5% implied probability) and 19°C (32.0%) for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest KNMI short-range forecast of a maximum 18°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds (force 2), and 40% sunshine—conditions favoring moderate afternoon heating without excessive solar insolation. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show a 2–3°C spread around 18–20°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud fraction and boundary layer mixing that could push peaks higher during prolonged sun breaks. This warm spell, fueled by a high-pressure ridge, exceeds mid-April norms of 13°C, with dry air (near-zero precipitation chance) minimizing cooling. Hourly KNMI updates and observations will sharpen resolution based on official airport station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$14,237結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 18°C (39.5% implied probability) and 19°C (32.0%) for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest KNMI short-range forecast of a maximum 18°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds (force 2), and 40% sunshine—conditions favoring moderate afternoon heating without excessive solar insolation. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show a 2–3°C spread around 18–20°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud fraction and boundary layer mixing that could push peaks higher during prolonged sun breaks. This warm spell, fueled by a high-pressure ridge, exceeds mid-April norms of 13°C, with dry air (near-zero precipitation chance) minimizing cooling. Hourly KNMI updates and observations will sharpen resolution based on official airport station data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions