Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 90-91°F (36%) and 88-89°F (32.5%), mirroring the latest National Weather Service forecast for a high near 89°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) on April 17, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and ample sunshine. Recent developments include a warm early April trend in Central Texas, with prior days reaching the low 90s under similar ridging, per NWS observations, boosting confidence in above-normal temperatures versus the April climatological average of around 80°F. Differentiating factors hinge on model spread: GFS ensembles trend 90-92°F with clear skies, while NAM highlights potential mid-level clouds or isolated showers capping peaks at 88°F; watch evening HRRR updates and morning soundings for resolution clarity amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Austin on April 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 17?
90-91°F 37%
88-89°F 35%
86-87°F 16%
92-93°F 11%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
37%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
3%
96°F or higher
2%
90-91°F 37%
88-89°F 35%
86-87°F 16%
92-93°F 11%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
37%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
3%
96°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 90-91°F (36%) and 88-89°F (32.5%), mirroring the latest National Weather Service forecast for a high near 89°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) on April 17, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and ample sunshine. Recent developments include a warm early April trend in Central Texas, with prior days reaching the low 90s under similar ridging, per NWS observations, boosting confidence in above-normal temperatures versus the April climatological average of around 80°F. Differentiating factors hinge on model spread: GFS ensembles trend 90-92°F with clear skies, while NAM highlights potential mid-level clouds or isolated showers capping peaks at 88°F; watch evening HRRR updates and morning soundings for resolution clarity amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions