Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting a high near 17-18°C in London on April 17, following today's partly cloudy conditions with showers and a maximum around 16°C. The slight edge to 18°C (41%) over 17°C (35.5%) stems from potential brighter spells allowing greater solar heating under light south-westerly winds (12-13 mph), though persistent cloud cover—expected to dominate—could cap peaks at 17°C by limiting insolation. This uncertainty arises from model variability in frontal influences and shower timing, after early April's record 26.6°C warmth gave way to an unsettled Atlantic pattern. Observations from Heathrow and central London stations will resolve the market tomorrow, with feels-like temperatures around 15°C due to gusts up to 25 mph.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月17日倫敦的最高溫度?
4月17日倫敦的最高溫度?
18°C 45%
17°C 34%
19°C 14%
16°C 6.9%
$39,521 交易量
$39,521 交易量
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
34%
18°C
45%
19°C
14%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C或更高
<1%
18°C 45%
17°C 34%
19°C 14%
16°C 6.9%
$39,521 交易量
$39,521 交易量
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
34%
18°C
45%
19°C
14%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting a high near 17-18°C in London on April 17, following today's partly cloudy conditions with showers and a maximum around 16°C. The slight edge to 18°C (41%) over 17°C (35.5%) stems from potential brighter spells allowing greater solar heating under light south-westerly winds (12-13 mph), though persistent cloud cover—expected to dominate—could cap peaks at 17°C by limiting insolation. This uncertainty arises from model variability in frontal influences and shower timing, after early April's record 26.6°C warmth gave way to an unsettled Atlantic pattern. Observations from Heathrow and central London stations will resolve the market tomorrow, with feels-like temperatures around 15°C due to gusts up to 25 mph.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions