Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) METAR reports confirm Mexico City's highest temperature on April 11 has already peaked at 26°C around 2 PM local time, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 23°C or higher as traders price in irreversible real-time data. Forecasts from AccuWeather and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projected highs of 24-25°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, aligning with April climatology where daily maxima average 25-26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Minimal uncertainty remains post-peak heating; only erroneous data revisions from monitoring stations could theoretically alter the outcome, but confirmed records and cooling evening trends solidify the consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 11?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 11?
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$54,397 交易量
$54,397 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
Yes
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$54,397 交易量
$54,397 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 1:09 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) METAR reports confirm Mexico City's highest temperature on April 11 has already peaked at 26°C around 2 PM local time, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 23°C or higher as traders price in irreversible real-time data. Forecasts from AccuWeather and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projected highs of 24-25°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, aligning with April climatology where daily maxima average 25-26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Minimal uncertainty remains post-peak heating; only erroneous data revisions from monitoring stations could theoretically alter the outcome, but confirmed records and cooling evening trends solidify the consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions