Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on April 17 near 24°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge delivering mostly sunny skies and mild spring conditions, positioning it as the trader-favored outcome at 44.5% implied probability. This consensus reflects refined overnight model runs amid an April temperature anomaly of +2.1°C above normal, fostering above-average daytime heating from ample insolation. Elevated odds for 23°C (25.5%) and 25°C (12.5%) stem from model disagreements on afternoon fair-weather cumulus cloud development, which could cap peaks or allow marginal exceedance with persistent clear conditions. Official measurements at Milano Linate Airport will resolve the market; expect further updates from Italian Air Force Meteorological Service and global models overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
24°C 45%
23°C 26%
25°C 13%
22°C 9%
$16,331 交易量
$16,331 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
26%
24°C
45%
25°C
13%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 45%
23°C 26%
25°C 13%
22°C 9%
$16,331 交易量
$16,331 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
26%
24°C
45%
25°C
13%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on April 17 near 24°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge delivering mostly sunny skies and mild spring conditions, positioning it as the trader-favored outcome at 44.5% implied probability. This consensus reflects refined overnight model runs amid an April temperature anomaly of +2.1°C above normal, fostering above-average daytime heating from ample insolation. Elevated odds for 23°C (25.5%) and 25°C (12.5%) stem from model disagreements on afternoon fair-weather cumulus cloud development, which could cap peaks or allow marginal exceedance with persistent clear conditions. Official measurements at Milano Linate Airport will resolve the market; expect further updates from Italian Air Force Meteorological Service and global models overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions