Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 33°C (32.5% implied probability) for Panama City, reflecting the latest forecast models from services like AccuWeather and Weather.com, which project afternoon peaks of 91–92°F (33°C) under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This positioning stems from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) April outlook, noting the seasonal transition from dry to rainy conditions, increasing chances for isolated showers or convective activity that could cap temperatures at 32°C (22.5%) or push sunnier scenarios to 34°C (17.5%). Key variables include cloud cover evolution, sea breeze strength, and humidity-driven instability; historical April highs average 32°C but rarely exceed 34°C. Updated hourly guidance and IMHPA bulletins expected through April 16 will refine odds ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月17日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
4月17日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
33°C 32%
32°C 28%
34°C 18%
35°C 10%
$10,735 交易量
$10,735 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
23%
33°C
32%
34°C
18%
35°C
10%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C或以上
<1%
33°C 32%
32°C 28%
34°C 18%
35°C 10%
$10,735 交易量
$10,735 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
23%
33°C
32%
34°C
18%
35°C
10%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 33°C (32.5% implied probability) for Panama City, reflecting the latest forecast models from services like AccuWeather and Weather.com, which project afternoon peaks of 91–92°F (33°C) under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This positioning stems from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) April outlook, noting the seasonal transition from dry to rainy conditions, increasing chances for isolated showers or convective activity that could cap temperatures at 32°C (22.5%) or push sunnier scenarios to 34°C (17.5%). Key variables include cloud cover evolution, sea breeze strength, and humidity-driven instability; historical April highs average 32°C but rarely exceed 34°C. Updated hourly guidance and IMHPA bulletins expected through April 16 will refine odds ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions