Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City at 47.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) guidance forecasting peaks near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. April marks Panama's hottest month climatologically, with near-perpendicular solar incidence boosting daytime highs to 32–35°C amid transitioning dry-to-wet season conditions and light winds. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus for upper-30s Celsius, though afternoon convection could cap intensity at 30–31°C, explaining clustered odds around those bins. IMHPA's next update tomorrow may refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Panama City on April 18?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 18?
32°C or higher 70%
31°C 21%
30°C 11%
28°C 10%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
10%
30°C
11%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
70%
32°C or higher 70%
31°C 21%
30°C 11%
28°C 10%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
10%
30°C
11%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
70%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City at 47.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) guidance forecasting peaks near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. April marks Panama's hottest month climatologically, with near-perpendicular solar incidence boosting daytime highs to 32–35°C amid transitioning dry-to-wet season conditions and light winds. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus for upper-30s Celsius, though afternoon convection could cap intensity at 30–31°C, explaining clustered odds around those bins. IMHPA's next update tomorrow may refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions