Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 58-59°F (37.5% implied probability) and 60-61°F (35%) for Seattle's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts showing highs in the mid-50s to low-60s amid lingering uncertainty from recent model runs. The latest Area Forecast Discussion from April 10 highlights a peak in warm, dry conditions this weekend, but a weakening upper-level trough introduces variability in marine stratus clouds and light rain chances, potentially capping peaks via persistent low-level onshore flow from Puget Sound. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show slight divergence on afternoon clearing, with means clustering near 59°F against April climatological normals of about 57°F boosted by NOAA's spring warm bias. Watch evening NWS updates for refined guidance ahead of SeaTac Airport observations resolving the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月12日西雅圖的最高溫度?
4月12日西雅圖的最高溫度?
58-59°F 35%
60-61°F 33%
華氏62度或更高 18.6%
56-57°F 12%
$20,228 交易量
$20,228 交易量
華氏43度或以下
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
1%
華氏50-51度
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
4%
56-57°F
12%
58-59°F
35%
60-61°F
33%
華氏62度或更高
19%
58-59°F 35%
60-61°F 33%
華氏62度或更高 18.6%
56-57°F 12%
$20,228 交易量
$20,228 交易量
華氏43度或以下
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
1%
華氏50-51度
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
4%
56-57°F
12%
58-59°F
35%
60-61°F
33%
華氏62度或更高
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 58-59°F (37.5% implied probability) and 60-61°F (35%) for Seattle's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts showing highs in the mid-50s to low-60s amid lingering uncertainty from recent model runs. The latest Area Forecast Discussion from April 10 highlights a peak in warm, dry conditions this weekend, but a weakening upper-level trough introduces variability in marine stratus clouds and light rain chances, potentially capping peaks via persistent low-level onshore flow from Puget Sound. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show slight divergence on afternoon clearing, with means clustering near 59°F against April climatological normals of about 57°F boosted by NOAA's spring warm bias. Watch evening NWS updates for refined guidance ahead of SeaTac Airport observations resolving the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions