MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's April 17 high temperature at 18°C under northwesterly winds ushering mild autumn air to Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution station via Wunderground data, closely aligning with NIWA model runs showing a 18°C peak amid partly cloudy skies and gusts to 80 km/h. Trader consensus splits narrowly between 18°C (38%) and 19°C (34.5%) due to uncertainty in afternoon insolation—intervals of sunshine could boost temperatures by 1°C via enhanced solar heating, while strengthening winds or extra cloud might cap it at 17-18°C, per historical April averages around 18°C. Overnight model updates from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, plus hourly observations starting dawn, will sharpen resolution before daily close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月17日惠靈頓的最高溫度?
4月17日惠靈頓的最高溫度?
18°C 39%
19°C 34%
17°C 18%
16°C 5.5%
$47,789 交易量
$47,789 交易量
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
18%
18°C
39%
19°C
34%
20°C
2%
21°C或以上
1%
18°C 39%
19°C 34%
17°C 18%
16°C 5.5%
$47,789 交易量
$47,789 交易量
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
18%
18°C
39%
19°C
34%
20°C
2%
21°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's April 17 high temperature at 18°C under northwesterly winds ushering mild autumn air to Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution station via Wunderground data, closely aligning with NIWA model runs showing a 18°C peak amid partly cloudy skies and gusts to 80 km/h. Trader consensus splits narrowly between 18°C (38%) and 19°C (34.5%) due to uncertainty in afternoon insolation—intervals of sunshine could boost temperatures by 1°C via enhanced solar heating, while strengthening winds or extra cloud might cap it at 17-18°C, per historical April averages around 18°C. Overnight model updates from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, plus hourly observations starting dawn, will sharpen resolution before daily close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions