Trader consensus centers on a Toronto high of 29°C for August 5, driven by short-range model consensus from Environment and Climate Canada and global ensembles showing a warm air mass advecting across the region with afternoon maxima near 28–30°C. Recent surface observations and guidance indicate limited cloud cover and weak lake-breeze moderation, allowing temperatures to build above seasonal averages amid ongoing positive temperature anomalies in the Great Lakes basin. Low precipitation probability reduces evaporative cooling, while model spread remains narrow on the upper 20s range, supporting elevated implied probabilities for 28–30°C outcomes ahead of the final observational reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日多伦多气温最高?
29°C 40%
28°C 26%
30°C 19%
27°C 8%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
26%
29°C
40%
30°C
19%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 40%
28°C 26%
30°C 19%
27°C 8%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
26%
29°C
40%
30°C
19%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus centers on a Toronto high of 29°C for August 5, driven by short-range model consensus from Environment and Climate Canada and global ensembles showing a warm air mass advecting across the region with afternoon maxima near 28–30°C. Recent surface observations and guidance indicate limited cloud cover and weak lake-breeze moderation, allowing temperatures to build above seasonal averages amid ongoing positive temperature anomalies in the Great Lakes basin. Low precipitation probability reduces evaporative cooling, while model spread remains narrow on the upper 20s range, supporting elevated implied probabilities for 28–30°C outcomes ahead of the final observational reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题