Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock's dominant fundraising—$727,000 raised through March versus challengers' combined under $230,000—and history of lopsided victories (61.8% in 2024) in solidly Republican CA-05 drive trader consensus at 82% for the GOP ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The district's R+10 partisan lean, with Trump capturing 59% in 2024, remains intact post-Prop 50 redistricting, per Cook Political Report's Solid R rating. Three Democratic contenders—Mike Barkley, Michael Masuda, and Dan Stroud—split their vote, ensuring McClintock advances easily to face one in November. Recent Sacbee voter guides (updated May 2) underscore Democrats' resource gaps, with no polls signaling a shift.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
17%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,859 거래량
83%
Democratic Party
$1,478 거래량
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock's dominant fundraising—$727,000 raised through March versus challengers' combined under $230,000—and history of lopsided victories (61.8% in 2024) in solidly Republican CA-05 drive trader consensus at 82% for the GOP ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The district's R+10 partisan lean, with Trump capturing 59% in 2024, remains intact post-Prop 50 redistricting, per Cook Political Report's Solid R rating. Three Democratic contenders—Mike Barkley, Michael Masuda, and Dan Stroud—split their vote, ensuring McClintock advances easily to face one in November. Recent Sacbee voter guides (updated May 2) underscore Democrats' resource gaps, with no polls signaling a shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$5,337종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock's dominant fundraising—$727,000 raised through March versus challengers' combined under $230,000—and history of lopsided victories (61.8% in 2024) in solidly Republican CA-05 drive trader consensus at 82% for the GOP ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The district's R+10 partisan lean, with Trump capturing 59% in 2024, remains intact post-Prop 50 redistricting, per Cook Political Report's Solid R rating. Three Democratic contenders—Mike Barkley, Michael Masuda, and Dan Stroud—split their vote, ensuring McClintock advances easily to face one in November. Recent Sacbee voter guides (updated May 2) underscore Democrats' resource gaps, with no polls signaling a shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,337종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock's dominant fundraising—$727,000 raised through March versus challengers' combined under $230,000—and history of lopsided victories (61.8% in 2024) in solidly Republican CA-05 drive trader consensus at 82% for the GOP ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The district's R+10 partisan lean, with Trump capturing 59% in 2024, remains intact post-Prop 50 redistricting, per Cook Political Report's Solid R rating. Three Democratic contenders—Mike Barkley, Michael Masuda, and Dan Stroud—split their vote, ensuring McClintock advances easily to face one in November. Recent Sacbee voter guides (updated May 2) underscore Democrats' resource gaps, with no polls signaling a shift.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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