Trader consensus prices the FL-27 House race as a virtual toss-up at 48.5% Democratic and 48% Republican, reflecting a March Blueprint poll of 451 likely voters showing Democratic hopefuls Robin Peguero (40%) and Eliott Rodriguez (43%) within the margin of error against incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (47% and 46%, respectively). This battleground Miami-Dade district (Cook PVI R+6, rated Solid Republican) hinges on its diverse Hispanic electorate, sensitive to immigration policy amid Salazar's recent Dignity Act push for legal status pathways, which has sparked conservative backlash. Multiple Democratic primary contenders vie ahead of the August 18 primaries, while Salazar boasts $1.9 million cash-on-hand; separation could emerge from nominee strength, GOP primary challenges, filing deadline clarity on April 24, or midterm turnout dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
49%
Republican Party
48%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$3,252 거래량
49%
Republican Party
$2,314 거래량
48%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices the FL-27 House race as a virtual toss-up at 48.5% Democratic and 48% Republican, reflecting a March Blueprint poll of 451 likely voters showing Democratic hopefuls Robin Peguero (40%) and Eliott Rodriguez (43%) within the margin of error against incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (47% and 46%, respectively). This battleground Miami-Dade district (Cook PVI R+6, rated Solid Republican) hinges on its diverse Hispanic electorate, sensitive to immigration policy amid Salazar's recent Dignity Act push for legal status pathways, which has sparked conservative backlash. Multiple Democratic primary contenders vie ahead of the August 18 primaries, while Salazar boasts $1.9 million cash-on-hand; separation could emerge from nominee strength, GOP primary challenges, filing deadline clarity on April 24, or midterm turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
거래량
$5,566종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices the FL-27 House race as a virtual toss-up at 48.5% Democratic and 48% Republican, reflecting a March Blueprint poll of 451 likely voters showing Democratic hopefuls Robin Peguero (40%) and Eliott Rodriguez (43%) within the margin of error against incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (47% and 46%, respectively). This battleground Miami-Dade district (Cook PVI R+6, rated Solid Republican) hinges on its diverse Hispanic electorate, sensitive to immigration policy amid Salazar's recent Dignity Act push for legal status pathways, which has sparked conservative backlash. Multiple Democratic primary contenders vie ahead of the August 18 primaries, while Salazar boasts $1.9 million cash-on-hand; separation could emerge from nominee strength, GOP primary challenges, filing deadline clarity on April 24, or midterm turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,566종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices the FL-27 House race as a virtual toss-up at 48.5% Democratic and 48% Republican, reflecting a March Blueprint poll of 451 likely voters showing Democratic hopefuls Robin Peguero (40%) and Eliott Rodriguez (43%) within the margin of error against incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (47% and 46%, respectively). This battleground Miami-Dade district (Cook PVI R+6, rated Solid Republican) hinges on its diverse Hispanic electorate, sensitive to immigration policy amid Salazar's recent Dignity Act push for legal status pathways, which has sparked conservative backlash. Multiple Democratic primary contenders vie ahead of the August 18 primaries, while Salazar boasts $1.9 million cash-on-hand; separation could emerge from nominee strength, GOP primary challenges, filing deadline clarity on April 24, or midterm turnout dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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