Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew, seeking a fifth term after switching parties in 2019, faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock following the June 2 primary in New Jersey’s 2nd district. The South Jersey seat carries an R+5 partisan voting index and favored Donald Trump by double digits in the prior cycle, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Recent primary results and Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating reflect limited Democratic momentum in a district with a modest GOP voter registration edge. General election dynamics remain early-stage, with November 2026 voting still months away and no major polling or campaign shifts yet altering the baseline advantage tied to incumbency and district composition.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,753 거래량
$15,753 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
70%
민주당
30%
$15,753 거래량
$15,753 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$8,219 거래량
70%
민주당
$7,534 거래량
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew, seeking a fifth term after switching parties in 2019, faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock following the June 2 primary in New Jersey’s 2nd district. The South Jersey seat carries an R+5 partisan voting index and favored Donald Trump by double digits in the prior cycle, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Recent primary results and Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating reflect limited Democratic momentum in a district with a modest GOP voter registration edge. General election dynamics remain early-stage, with November 2026 voting still months away and no major polling or campaign shifts yet altering the baseline advantage tied to incumbency and district composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$15,753종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew, seeking a fifth term after switching parties in 2019, faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock following the June 2 primary in New Jersey’s 2nd district. The South Jersey seat carries an R+5 partisan voting index and favored Donald Trump by double digits in the prior cycle, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Recent primary results and Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating reflect limited Democratic momentum in a district with a modest GOP voter registration edge. General election dynamics remain early-stage, with November 2026 voting still months away and no major polling or campaign shifts yet altering the baseline advantage tied to incumbency and district composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,753종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew, seeking a fifth term after switching parties in 2019, faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock following the June 2 primary in New Jersey’s 2nd district. The South Jersey seat carries an R+5 partisan voting index and favored Donald Trump by double digits in the prior cycle, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Recent primary results and Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating reflect limited Democratic momentum in a district with a modest GOP voter registration edge. General election dynamics remain early-stage, with November 2026 voting still months away and no major polling or campaign shifts yet altering the baseline advantage tied to incumbency and district composition.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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