Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew's unopposed primary status and dominant 2024 victory (58%-41%) in the R+5 district solidify trader consensus at 73.5% for a GOP hold in NJ-02, reflecting his $1.18 million cash-on-hand edge over a fragmented Democratic field. Recent March 2026 filing deadline confirmed four underfunded challengers—civil rights attorney Tim Alexander, ex-USAID official Bayly Winder, Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock, and activist Terri Reese—none with Van Drew's name recognition or resources. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, requiring a massive national wave for Democrats ahead of the June 2 primaries and November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,398 거래량
$11,398 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
74%
민주당
26%
$11,398 거래량
$11,398 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$5,548 거래량
74%
민주당
$5,850 거래량
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew's unopposed primary status and dominant 2024 victory (58%-41%) in the R+5 district solidify trader consensus at 73.5% for a GOP hold in NJ-02, reflecting his $1.18 million cash-on-hand edge over a fragmented Democratic field. Recent March 2026 filing deadline confirmed four underfunded challengers—civil rights attorney Tim Alexander, ex-USAID official Bayly Winder, Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock, and activist Terri Reese—none with Van Drew's name recognition or resources. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, requiring a massive national wave for Democrats ahead of the June 2 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$11,398종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew's unopposed primary status and dominant 2024 victory (58%-41%) in the R+5 district solidify trader consensus at 73.5% for a GOP hold in NJ-02, reflecting his $1.18 million cash-on-hand edge over a fragmented Democratic field. Recent March 2026 filing deadline confirmed four underfunded challengers—civil rights attorney Tim Alexander, ex-USAID official Bayly Winder, Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock, and activist Terri Reese—none with Van Drew's name recognition or resources. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, requiring a massive national wave for Democrats ahead of the June 2 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,398종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew's unopposed primary status and dominant 2024 victory (58%-41%) in the R+5 district solidify trader consensus at 73.5% for a GOP hold in NJ-02, reflecting his $1.18 million cash-on-hand edge over a fragmented Democratic field. Recent March 2026 filing deadline confirmed four underfunded challengers—civil rights attorney Tim Alexander, ex-USAID official Bayly Winder, Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock, and activist Terri Reese—none with Van Drew's name recognition or resources. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, requiring a massive national wave for Democrats ahead of the June 2 primaries and November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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