**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+5 and favored Donald Trump by roughly 13 points in the prior presidential contest, providing a structural Republican advantage reinforced by slight GOP edges in voter registration. Van Drew, a four-term member who switched parties in 2019, ran unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising. Democrats nominated Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock after his primary victory over three challengers, positioning him as the general-election opponent. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited turnover risk absent a major national shift. Recent primary results and early polling averages showing double-digit leads for the incumbent have anchored trader consensus around the Republican outcome at current levels, though the five-month window to Election Day leaves room for polling movement or turnout surprises typical in midterm cycles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,753 거래량
$15,753 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
70%
민주당
30%
$15,753 거래량
$15,753 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$8,219 거래량
70%
민주당
$7,534 거래량
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+5 and favored Donald Trump by roughly 13 points in the prior presidential contest, providing a structural Republican advantage reinforced by slight GOP edges in voter registration. Van Drew, a four-term member who switched parties in 2019, ran unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising.
Democrats nominated Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock after his primary victory over three challengers, positioning him as the general-election opponent. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited turnover risk absent a major national shift. Recent primary results and early polling averages showing double-digit leads for the incumbent have anchored trader consensus around the Republican outcome at current levels, though the five-month window to Election Day leaves room for polling movement or turnout surprises typical in midterm cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$15,753종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+5 and favored Donald Trump by roughly 13 points in the prior presidential contest, providing a structural Republican advantage reinforced by slight GOP edges in voter registration. Van Drew, a four-term member who switched parties in 2019, ran unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising.
Democrats nominated Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock after his primary victory over three challengers, positioning him as the general-election opponent. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited turnover risk absent a major national shift. Recent primary results and early polling averages showing double-digit leads for the incumbent have anchored trader consensus around the Republican outcome at current levels, though the five-month window to Election Day leaves room for polling movement or turnout surprises typical in midterm cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,753종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+5 and favored Donald Trump by roughly 13 points in the prior presidential contest, providing a structural Republican advantage reinforced by slight GOP edges in voter registration. Van Drew, a four-term member who switched parties in 2019, ran unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising. Democrats nominated Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock after his primary victory over three challengers, positioning him as the general-election opponent. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited turnover risk absent a major national shift. Recent primary results and early polling averages showing double-digit leads for the incumbent have anchored trader consensus around the Republican outcome at current levels, though the five-month window to Election Day leaves room for polling movement or turnout surprises typical in midterm cycles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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