Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 59.5% in the TX-15 House race, reflecting incumbent Monica De La Cruz's strong reelection prospects in the South Texas district she flipped in 2022, bolstered by fundraising advantages—over $1.7 million raised by early 2026 versus challenger Bobby Pulido's $274,000—and a GOP structural lean from redistricting, Trump’s +15 margin in 2024, and Hispanic voter shifts on border security. Pulido, a Tejano musician who won the March 3 Democratic primary by a 36-point landslide, gained momentum with the DCCC's recent addition to its Red to Blue program, but a September 2025 Public Policy Polling survey showed De La Cruz ahead 41%-38%. The contest remains competitive ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
60%
Democratic Party
47%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$1,207 거래량
60%
Democratic Party
$1,008 거래량
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 59.5% in the TX-15 House race, reflecting incumbent Monica De La Cruz's strong reelection prospects in the South Texas district she flipped in 2022, bolstered by fundraising advantages—over $1.7 million raised by early 2026 versus challenger Bobby Pulido's $274,000—and a GOP structural lean from redistricting, Trump’s +15 margin in 2024, and Hispanic voter shifts on border security. Pulido, a Tejano musician who won the March 3 Democratic primary by a 36-point landslide, gained momentum with the DCCC's recent addition to its Red to Blue program, but a September 2025 Public Policy Polling survey showed De La Cruz ahead 41%-38%. The contest remains competitive ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
거래량
$2,215종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 59.5% in the TX-15 House race, reflecting incumbent Monica De La Cruz's strong reelection prospects in the South Texas district she flipped in 2022, bolstered by fundraising advantages—over $1.7 million raised by early 2026 versus challenger Bobby Pulido's $274,000—and a GOP structural lean from redistricting, Trump’s +15 margin in 2024, and Hispanic voter shifts on border security. Pulido, a Tejano musician who won the March 3 Democratic primary by a 36-point landslide, gained momentum with the DCCC's recent addition to its Red to Blue program, but a September 2025 Public Policy Polling survey showed De La Cruz ahead 41%-38%. The contest remains competitive ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,215종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 59.5% in the TX-15 House race, reflecting incumbent Monica De La Cruz's strong reelection prospects in the South Texas district she flipped in 2022, bolstered by fundraising advantages—over $1.7 million raised by early 2026 versus challenger Bobby Pulido's $274,000—and a GOP structural lean from redistricting, Trump’s +15 margin in 2024, and Hispanic voter shifts on border security. Pulido, a Tejano musician who won the March 3 Democratic primary by a 36-point landslide, gained momentum with the DCCC's recent addition to its Red to Blue program, but a September 2025 Public Policy Polling survey showed De La Cruz ahead 41%-38%. The contest remains competitive ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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