Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 8°C or higher (100%) for Ankara's highest temperature on April 11, backed by the latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting daytime highs of 10–11°C under partly sunny skies with mild southerly winds. Current observations at Esenboğa Airport show morning temperatures around 5°C already climbing steadily, consistent with typical spring synoptic patterns featuring weak high-pressure influence over central Anatolia. April climatology supports this, with average highs near 16°C and rare dips below 8°C absent cold frontal passages. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent cloud cover or a late Arctic air intrusion suppressing peaks, though ensemble model agreement indicates under 1% risk; hourly station data will finalize resolution by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on April 11?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 11?
8°C or higher 100.0%
-2°C or below <1%
-1°C <1%
0°C <1%
$48,267 交易量
$48,267 交易量
-2°C or below
No
-1°C
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C or higher
Yes
8°C or higher 100.0%
-2°C or below <1%
-1°C <1%
0°C <1%
$48,267 交易量
$48,267 交易量
-2°C or below
No
-1°C
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 8°C or higher (100%) for Ankara's highest temperature on April 11, backed by the latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting daytime highs of 10–11°C under partly sunny skies with mild southerly winds. Current observations at Esenboğa Airport show morning temperatures around 5°C already climbing steadily, consistent with typical spring synoptic patterns featuring weak high-pressure influence over central Anatolia. April climatology supports this, with average highs near 16°C and rare dips below 8°C absent cold frontal passages. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent cloud cover or a late Arctic air intrusion suppressing peaks, though ensemble model agreement indicates under 1% risk; hourly station data will finalize resolution by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions