The India Meteorological Department's latest forecast for Lucknow indicates a maximum temperature of 34°C on April 13 under clear skies, following a recent cool spell with maximums below normal at 30.5–32.1°C due to western disturbances bringing unseasonal thundershowers and gusty winds. However, trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 43.5% implied probability to 36°C as the peak, with 35–37°C outcomes totaling over 86%, reflecting expectations of IMD's projected gradual rise of 6–10°C across northwest India through April 16 amid persistent dry conditions and atmospheric subsidence. Historical mid-April averages hover around 36–37°C, though short-term forecast uncertainty persists from model variations; monitor daily IMD updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 13?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 13?
36°C 50%
37°C 22%
35°C 20%
34°C or below 9%
34°C or below
9%
35°C
20%
36°C
50%
37°C
22%
38°C
6%
39°C
4%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 50%
37°C 22%
35°C 20%
34°C or below 9%
34°C or below
9%
35°C
20%
36°C
50%
37°C
22%
38°C
6%
39°C
4%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The India Meteorological Department's latest forecast for Lucknow indicates a maximum temperature of 34°C on April 13 under clear skies, following a recent cool spell with maximums below normal at 30.5–32.1°C due to western disturbances bringing unseasonal thundershowers and gusty winds. However, trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 43.5% implied probability to 36°C as the peak, with 35–37°C outcomes totaling over 86%, reflecting expectations of IMD's projected gradual rise of 6–10°C across northwest India through April 16 amid persistent dry conditions and atmospheric subsidence. Historical mid-April averages hover around 36–37°C, though short-term forecast uncertainty persists from model variations; monitor daily IMD updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions