India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 36°C in Lucknow on April 12 under mainly clear skies with strong daytime winds, driving trader consensus toward 36°C at 47.5% implied probability and 37°C at 33.5%, as this aligns with the official guidance released April 11. Recent observational data shows temperatures rising from a cooler early-April spell—maxima around 30-34°C amid passing thunderstorms—now transitioning to dry, sunny conditions that enhance daytime solar heating despite gusty winds aiding some mixing. April climatology supports highs near 37°C on average, with model consensus indicating low uncertainty this close to resolution, though minor local variations or slight forecast adjustments could tip outcomes; final airport measurements will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 12?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 12?
36°C 47%
37°C 37%
35°C 12%
38°C 4.2%
$17,136 交易量
$17,136 交易量
34°C or below
2%
35°C
12%
36°C
47%
37°C
37%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 47%
37°C 37%
35°C 12%
38°C 4.2%
$17,136 交易量
$17,136 交易量
34°C or below
2%
35°C
12%
36°C
47%
37°C
37%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 36°C in Lucknow on April 12 under mainly clear skies with strong daytime winds, driving trader consensus toward 36°C at 47.5% implied probability and 37°C at 33.5%, as this aligns with the official guidance released April 11. Recent observational data shows temperatures rising from a cooler early-April spell—maxima around 30-34°C amid passing thunderstorms—now transitioning to dry, sunny conditions that enhance daytime solar heating despite gusty winds aiding some mixing. April climatology supports highs near 37°C on average, with model consensus indicating low uncertainty this close to resolution, though minor local variations or slight forecast adjustments could tip outcomes; final airport measurements will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions