The latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a high of 29°C in Shenzhen on April 17 amid thundershowers, aligning with trader-implied probabilities favoring 29°C (36.5%) over 30°C (29.5%) and 28°C (21.5%), as ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models cluster around 28-30°C. Recent observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport show 30°C highs on April 15-16 under partly sunny, humid conditions, but anticipated southwest winds (13 km/h), 25% precipitation risk, and transitioning cloud cover introduce uncertainty—full overcast or afternoon showers could cap peaks at 28°C via reduced solar insolation, while morning clears might push to 30°C. High humidity and subtropical moisture favor modest peaks absent major convective disruption, with real-time airport data resolving the market by day's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
29°C 38%
30°C 30%
28°C 22%
31°C 5.1%
$21,132 交易量
$21,132 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
22%
29°C
38%
30°C
30%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
3%
29°C 38%
30°C 30%
28°C 22%
31°C 5.1%
$21,132 交易量
$21,132 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
22%
29°C
38%
30°C
30%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a high of 29°C in Shenzhen on April 17 amid thundershowers, aligning with trader-implied probabilities favoring 29°C (36.5%) over 30°C (29.5%) and 28°C (21.5%), as ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models cluster around 28-30°C. Recent observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport show 30°C highs on April 15-16 under partly sunny, humid conditions, but anticipated southwest winds (13 km/h), 25% precipitation risk, and transitioning cloud cover introduce uncertainty—full overcast or afternoon showers could cap peaks at 28°C via reduced solar insolation, while morning clears might push to 30°C. High humidity and subtropical moisture favor modest peaks absent major convective disruption, with real-time airport data resolving the market by day's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions