Latest global model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS, project a 20–27°C spread for Buenos Aires' maximum temperature on April 17, fueling the tight trader consensus with 24–26°C outcomes each at roughly 23–26% implied probability amid high short-range uncertainty. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates point to partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms, potentially limiting peaks via reduced insolation and sea breeze moderation, though some runs favor brief clearings pushing toward 25–26°C. Yesterday's rainy high of 23°C aligns with mild autumn patterns (historical April average ~22°C on the Saffir-Simpson precursor scales for heat, but climatologically stable). Fresh SMN bulletins and model refreshes expected in the next 24 hours could shift the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
25°C 27%
24°C 25%
26°C 22%
23°C 17%
最新
$14,427 交易量
最新
$14,427 交易量
2026-04-17
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
17%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
22%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
3%
25°C 27%
24°C 25%
26°C 22%
23°C 17%
最新
$14,427 交易量
最新
$14,427 交易量
2026-04-17
18°C or below
$1,796 交易量
<1%
19°C
$3,144 交易量
<1%
20°C
$2,109 交易量
<1%
21°C
$666 交易量
2%
22°C
$1,354 交易量
7%
23°C
$909 交易量
17%
24°C
$888 交易量
25%
25°C
$614 交易量
27%
26°C
$982 交易量
22%
27°C
$1,483 交易量
4%
28°C or higher
$888 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest global model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS, project a 20–27°C spread for Buenos Aires' maximum temperature on April 17, fueling the tight trader consensus with 24–26°C outcomes each at roughly 23–26% implied probability amid high short-range uncertainty. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates point to partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms, potentially limiting peaks via reduced insolation and sea breeze moderation, though some runs favor brief clearings pushing toward 25–26°C. Yesterday's rainy high of 23°C aligns with mild autumn patterns (historical April average ~22°C on the Saffir-Simpson precursor scales for heat, but climatologically stable). Fresh SMN bulletins and model refreshes expected in the next 24 hours could shift the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$14,427结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest global model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS, project a 20–27°C spread for Buenos Aires' maximum temperature on April 17, fueling the tight trader consensus with 24–26°C outcomes each at roughly 23–26% implied probability amid high short-range uncertainty. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates point to partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms, potentially limiting peaks via reduced insolation and sea breeze moderation, though some runs favor brief clearings pushing toward 25–26°C. Yesterday's rainy high of 23°C aligns with mild autumn patterns (historical April average ~22°C on the Saffir-Simpson precursor scales for heat, but climatologically stable). Fresh SMN bulletins and model refreshes expected in the next 24 hours could shift the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$14,427结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest global model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS, project a 20–27°C spread for Buenos Aires' maximum temperature on April 17, fueling the tight trader consensus with 24–26°C outcomes each at roughly 23–26% implied probability amid high short-range uncertainty. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates point to partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms, potentially limiting peaks via reduced insolation and sea breeze moderation, though some runs favor brief clearings pushing toward 25–26°C. Yesterday's rainy high of 23°C aligns with mild autumn patterns (historical April average ~22°C on the Saffir-Simpson precursor scales for heat, but climatologically stable). Fresh SMN bulletins and model refreshes expected in the next 24 hours could shift the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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