Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 72°F or higher (83.5%) for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Los Angeles/Oxnard office projecting daytime highs near 78°F amid dry, warmer conditions. This positioning stems from a building upper-level ridge over the West Coast promoting subsidence and reduced marine layer influence, allowing greater solar heating after recent showers tapered off midweek. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles have converged on this pattern in runs over the past 48 hours, shifting probabilities upward from earlier cooler outlooks. While coastal stratus could temper peaks to the low 70s, low probabilities for sub-72°F outcomes reflect strong agreement on above-normal temperatures typical for mid-April baselines around 72°F. Watch NWS updates this evening for refined guidance ahead of resolution at official downtown Los Angeles stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?
72°F or higher 83%
70-71°F 10%
68-69°F 5%
66-67°F 1.8%
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
10%
72°F or higher
83%
72°F or higher 83%
70-71°F 10%
68-69°F 5%
66-67°F 1.8%
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
10%
72°F or higher
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 72°F or higher (83.5%) for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Los Angeles/Oxnard office projecting daytime highs near 78°F amid dry, warmer conditions. This positioning stems from a building upper-level ridge over the West Coast promoting subsidence and reduced marine layer influence, allowing greater solar heating after recent showers tapered off midweek. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles have converged on this pattern in runs over the past 48 hours, shifting probabilities upward from earlier cooler outlooks. While coastal stratus could temper peaks to the low 70s, low probabilities for sub-72°F outcomes reflect strong agreement on above-normal temperatures typical for mid-April baselines around 72°F. Watch NWS updates this evening for refined guidance ahead of resolution at official downtown Los Angeles stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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