Official AEMET observations from Madrid's primary meteorological stations, including Barajas and Ciudad Universitaria, confirmed a peak temperature of 28°C on April 10, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. This matched closely with pre-event forecasts from AEMET models anticipating highs near 28°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and ample solar heating—conditions warmer than the typical April average of 18–20°C but consistent with recent days' trend of 27–28°C peaks. Post-event data validation leaves minimal uncertainty, though a rare sensor recalibration or quality control revision could theoretically adjust the record if an anomaly emerges. Traders await no further updates as the market nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on April 10?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 10?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$133,950 交易量
$133,950 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$133,950 交易量
$133,950 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official AEMET observations from Madrid's primary meteorological stations, including Barajas and Ciudad Universitaria, confirmed a peak temperature of 28°C on April 10, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. This matched closely with pre-event forecasts from AEMET models anticipating highs near 28°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and ample solar heating—conditions warmer than the typical April average of 18–20°C but consistent with recent days' trend of 27–28°C peaks. Post-event data validation leaves minimal uncertainty, though a rare sensor recalibration or quality control revision could theoretically adjust the record if an anomaly emerges. Traders await no further updates as the market nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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