Latest Roshydromet forecasts indicate daytime highs of 9–11°C for Moscow on April 12 under cloudy skies with a 74% precipitation probability and light winds around 1 m/s, anchoring trader consensus on 10°C as the leading outcome at 42.5% implied probability. This positioning stems from recent model runs converging on modest warming after cooler conditions on April 11 (highs near 7°C), with showers likely capping intensities via cloud cover and evaporative cooling. International guidance, including ECMWF-derived ensembles reflected in AccuWeather (52°F/11°C high) and TimeandDate, shows similar ranges amid a weak high-pressure ridge. Mid-April climatology supports averages near 10°C, though minor forecast discrepancies sustain support for 9°C (26.5%) and 11°C (18.5%); resolution hinges on Vnukovo Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on April 12?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 12?
10°C 43%
9°C 29%
11°C 16%
8°C 4.7%
$19,401 交易量
$19,401 交易量
7°C or below
2%
8°C
5%
9°C
29%
10°C
43%
11°C
16%
12°C
5%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
10°C 43%
9°C 29%
11°C 16%
8°C 4.7%
$19,401 交易量
$19,401 交易量
7°C or below
2%
8°C
5%
9°C
29%
10°C
43%
11°C
16%
12°C
5%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 8, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Roshydromet forecasts indicate daytime highs of 9–11°C for Moscow on April 12 under cloudy skies with a 74% precipitation probability and light winds around 1 m/s, anchoring trader consensus on 10°C as the leading outcome at 42.5% implied probability. This positioning stems from recent model runs converging on modest warming after cooler conditions on April 11 (highs near 7°C), with showers likely capping intensities via cloud cover and evaporative cooling. International guidance, including ECMWF-derived ensembles reflected in AccuWeather (52°F/11°C high) and TimeandDate, shows similar ranges amid a weak high-pressure ridge. Mid-April climatology supports averages near 10°C, though minor forecast discrepancies sustain support for 9°C (26.5%) and 11°C (18.5%); resolution hinges on Vnukovo Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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