Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 5°C in Moscow today at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from Roshydromet stations and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models clustering peaks at 4–6°C amid a cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light rain suppressing solar insolation. This marks a downturn from yesterday's projections of up to 10°C, as measured highs have held near 4–5°C (e.g., 39°F or ~4°C at key sites), consistent with April climatology where overcast conditions often limit warming below the 10°C monthly average. Upside risks—sudden clearing or wind shift—remain negligible given the daily maximum likely passed and minimal remaining daylight; final agency reports will confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on April 11?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 11?
5°C 100.0%
-3°C or below <1%
-2°C <1%
-1°C <1%
$62,620 交易量
$62,620 交易量
2026-04-11
-3°C or below
No
-2°C
No
-1°C
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
Yes
6°C
No
7°C or higher
No
5°C 100.0%
-3°C or below <1%
-2°C <1%
-1°C <1%
$62,620 交易量
$62,620 交易量
2026-04-11
-3°C or below
$3,295 交易量
No
-2°C
$2,033 交易量
No
-1°C
$799 交易量
No
0°C
$1,790 交易量
No
1°C
$2,181 交易量
No
2°C
$1,824 交易量
No
3°C
$1,032 交易量
No
4°C
$9,857 交易量
No
5°C
$15,271 交易量
Yes
6°C
$10,142 交易量
No
7°C or higher
$14,395 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 5°C in Moscow today at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from Roshydromet stations and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models clustering peaks at 4–6°C amid a cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light rain suppressing solar insolation. This marks a downturn from yesterday's projections of up to 10°C, as measured highs have held near 4–5°C (e.g., 39°F or ~4°C at key sites), consistent with April climatology where overcast conditions often limit warming below the 10°C monthly average. Upside risks—sudden clearing or wind shift—remain negligible given the daily maximum likely passed and minimal remaining daylight; final agency reports will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$62,620结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 5°C in Moscow today at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from Roshydromet stations and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models clustering peaks at 4–6°C amid a cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light rain suppressing solar insolation. This marks a downturn from yesterday's projections of up to 10°C, as measured highs have held near 4–5°C (e.g., 39°F or ~4°C at key sites), consistent with April climatology where overcast conditions often limit warming below the 10°C monthly average. Upside risks—sudden clearing or wind shift—remain negligible given the daily maximum likely passed and minimal remaining daylight; final agency reports will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$62,620结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 5°C in Moscow today at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from Roshydromet stations and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models clustering peaks at 4–6°C amid a cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light rain suppressing solar insolation. This marks a downturn from yesterday's projections of up to 10°C, as measured highs have held near 4–5°C (e.g., 39°F or ~4°C at key sites), consistent with April climatology where overcast conditions often limit warming below the 10°C monthly average. Upside risks—sudden clearing or wind shift—remain negligible given the daily maximum likely passed and minimal remaining daylight; final agency reports will confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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