Ensemble forecasts from leading models including ECMWF and GFS have converged on a maximum temperature around 12°C for Moscow on April 13, driving the market-implied 90.5% probability for 11°C or higher as traders price in this strong consensus backed by real capital. This positioning aligns with mid-April climatological averages of 10-12°C highs and a recent warming trend following cooler early-month conditions, with upper-air patterns favoring mild advection from the southwest. Realistic challenges include a sudden influx of cooler Arctic air, persistent cloud cover reducing insolation, or model spread widening to ±2°C on final runs expected overnight; observations from official Moscow weather stations will resolve the market shortly after midnight UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on April 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 13?
11°C or higher 92%
10°C 4.0%
9°C 2.1%
8°C 1.1%
$13,731 交易量
$13,731 交易量
2026-04-13
1°C or below
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C or higher
92%
11°C or higher 92%
10°C 4.0%
9°C 2.1%
8°C 1.1%
$13,731 交易量
$13,731 交易量
2026-04-13
1°C or below
$797 交易量
<1%
2°C
$1,874 交易量
<1%
3°C
$1,688 交易量
<1%
4°C
$1,639 交易量
<1%
5°C
$1,243 交易量
<1%
6°C
$1,025 交易量
<1%
7°C
$1,319 交易量
<1%
8°C
$665 交易量
1%
9°C
$759 交易量
2%
10°C
$964 交易量
4%
11°C or higher
$1,834 交易量
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from leading models including ECMWF and GFS have converged on a maximum temperature around 12°C for Moscow on April 13, driving the market-implied 90.5% probability for 11°C or higher as traders price in this strong consensus backed by real capital. This positioning aligns with mid-April climatological averages of 10-12°C highs and a recent warming trend following cooler early-month conditions, with upper-air patterns favoring mild advection from the southwest. Realistic challenges include a sudden influx of cooler Arctic air, persistent cloud cover reducing insolation, or model spread widening to ±2°C on final runs expected overnight; observations from official Moscow weather stations will resolve the market shortly after midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
交易量
$13,731结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from leading models including ECMWF and GFS have converged on a maximum temperature around 12°C for Moscow on April 13, driving the market-implied 90.5% probability for 11°C or higher as traders price in this strong consensus backed by real capital. This positioning aligns with mid-April climatological averages of 10-12°C highs and a recent warming trend following cooler early-month conditions, with upper-air patterns favoring mild advection from the southwest. Realistic challenges include a sudden influx of cooler Arctic air, persistent cloud cover reducing insolation, or model spread widening to ±2°C on final runs expected overnight; observations from official Moscow weather stations will resolve the market shortly after midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$13,731结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from leading models including ECMWF and GFS have converged on a maximum temperature around 12°C for Moscow on April 13, driving the market-implied 90.5% probability for 11°C or higher as traders price in this strong consensus backed by real capital. This positioning aligns with mid-April climatological averages of 10-12°C highs and a recent warming trend following cooler early-month conditions, with upper-air patterns favoring mild advection from the southwest. Realistic challenges include a sudden influx of cooler Arctic air, persistent cloud cover reducing insolation, or model spread widening to ±2°C on final runs expected overnight; observations from official Moscow weather stations will resolve the market shortly after midnight UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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