Latest short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models place Paris's highest temperature on April 17 at around 21°C, driving trader consensus with 35.5% implied probability for that outcome and strong support for 20–22°C (combined ~76.5%). This positioning stems from a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Western Europe, promoting clearer skies and above-normal spring warmth after April 16's cloudy conditions capped highs near 20°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, though lingering low clouds could limit peaks to 20°C, while increased sunshine might elevate to 22°C. Traders await final observational data from Charles de Gaulle Airport station for resolution, with updates expected in evening bulletins. Historical April averages hover at 15–16°C, underscoring the mild anomaly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月17日巴黎气温最高?
4月17日巴黎气温最高?
21°C 36%
22°C 22%
20°C 20%
19°C 9%
$33,396 交易量
$33,396 交易量
16°C或以下
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
20%
21°C
36%
22°C
22%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C或更高
1%
21°C 36%
22°C 22%
20°C 20%
19°C 9%
$33,396 交易量
$33,396 交易量
16°C或以下
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
20%
21°C
36%
22°C
22%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models place Paris's highest temperature on April 17 at around 21°C, driving trader consensus with 35.5% implied probability for that outcome and strong support for 20–22°C (combined ~76.5%). This positioning stems from a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Western Europe, promoting clearer skies and above-normal spring warmth after April 16's cloudy conditions capped highs near 20°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, though lingering low clouds could limit peaks to 20°C, while increased sunshine might elevate to 22°C. Traders await final observational data from Charles de Gaulle Airport station for resolution, with updates expected in evening bulletins. Historical April averages hover at 15–16°C, underscoring the mild anomaly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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