Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 21°C (35.5% implied probability) as Paris's highest temperature on April 17 at Charles de Gaulle Airport station, aligned with Météo-France and ECMWF model consensus forecasting daytime highs of 20-22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from today's observational highs of 19°C amid a warming trend fueled by a high-pressure ridge over Western Europe, advecting mild continental air masses well above the April climatological average of 16°C following last week's heat wave. Low ensemble spread signals high forecast agreement, though minor variations in cloud cover or diurnal heating could shift outcomes by 1°C; overnight Météo-France hourly updates will provide final guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月17日巴黎气温最高?
4月17日巴黎气温最高?
21°C 36%
22°C 22%
20°C 20%
19°C 12%
$33,130 交易量
$33,130 交易量
16°C或以下
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
12%
20°C
20%
21°C
36%
22°C
22%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C或更高
1%
21°C 36%
22°C 22%
20°C 20%
19°C 12%
$33,130 交易量
$33,130 交易量
16°C或以下
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
12%
20°C
20%
21°C
36%
22°C
22%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 21°C (35.5% implied probability) as Paris's highest temperature on April 17 at Charles de Gaulle Airport station, aligned with Météo-France and ECMWF model consensus forecasting daytime highs of 20-22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from today's observational highs of 19°C amid a warming trend fueled by a high-pressure ridge over Western Europe, advecting mild continental air masses well above the April climatological average of 16°C following last week's heat wave. Low ensemble spread signals high forecast agreement, though minor variations in cloud cover or diurnal heating could shift outcomes by 1°C; overnight Météo-France hourly updates will provide final guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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