Latest INMET forecasts project a maximum temperature of 30°C for São Paulo on April 17 amid many clouds and light winds, while CPTEC numerical models indicate 29°C, fueling the near-even split in trader consensus with those outcomes commanding 62% implied probability. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing from the Atlantic, which may moderate late-afternoon heating at urban stations like Congonhas Airport, versus persistent subtropical ridging and urban heat island amplification favoring slightly higher peaks. Over the past week, highs fluctuated between 26°C and 29°C amid weak fronts, but current stability supports warmer readings above April climatological norms of 25°C. Traders await final model ensembles and hourly observations resolving the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
30°C 32%
29°C 31%
28°C 19%
31°C 13%
$12,439 交易量
$12,439 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
19%
29°C
31%
30°C
32%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 32%
29°C 31%
28°C 19%
31°C 13%
$12,439 交易量
$12,439 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
19%
29°C
31%
30°C
32%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest INMET forecasts project a maximum temperature of 30°C for São Paulo on April 17 amid many clouds and light winds, while CPTEC numerical models indicate 29°C, fueling the near-even split in trader consensus with those outcomes commanding 62% implied probability. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing from the Atlantic, which may moderate late-afternoon heating at urban stations like Congonhas Airport, versus persistent subtropical ridging and urban heat island amplification favoring slightly higher peaks. Over the past week, highs fluctuated between 26°C and 29°C amid weak fronts, but current stability supports warmer readings above April climatological norms of 25°C. Traders await final model ensembles and hourly observations resolving the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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