Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Seattle high temperature of 60-61°F (39.5% implied probability), closely trailed by 58-59°F (31%), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts showing partly cloudy skies with highs near 59-60°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport after a recent cool-down from 70°F readings earlier this week. This positioning stems from a marine layer influx moderating temperatures via persistent stratocumulus clouds over Puget Sound, capping diurnal heating, while partial afternoon clearing in model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) could push peaks into the low 60s. Historical April 12 highs average around 59°F amid spring variability; low precipitation odds (20-50%) and light onshore winds differentiate outcomes, with final NWS updates expected today clarifying burn-off timing before observations begin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月12日西雅图气温最高?
4月12日西雅图气温最高?
60-61°F 41%
58-59华氏度 27%
62°F或更高 21.4%
56-57°F 10%
$22,823 交易量
$22,823 交易量
43°F或以下
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
3%
56-57°F
10%
58-59华氏度
27%
60-61°F
41%
62°F或更高
21%
60-61°F 41%
58-59华氏度 27%
62°F或更高 21.4%
56-57°F 10%
$22,823 交易量
$22,823 交易量
43°F或以下
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
3%
56-57°F
10%
58-59华氏度
27%
60-61°F
41%
62°F或更高
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Seattle high temperature of 60-61°F (39.5% implied probability), closely trailed by 58-59°F (31%), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts showing partly cloudy skies with highs near 59-60°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport after a recent cool-down from 70°F readings earlier this week. This positioning stems from a marine layer influx moderating temperatures via persistent stratocumulus clouds over Puget Sound, capping diurnal heating, while partial afternoon clearing in model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) could push peaks into the low 60s. Historical April 12 highs average around 59°F amid spring variability; low precipitation odds (20-50%) and light onshore winds differentiate outcomes, with final NWS updates expected today clarifying burn-off timing before observations begin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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