Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 54-55°F (42.5% implied probability) for Seattle on April 13, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts clustering around 55-57°F amid a weak upper-level ridge rebuilding over the Pacific Northwest following a cooler, wet weekend. National Weather Service Seattle discussions highlight this post-frontal pattern, with marine stratus from Puget Sound likely capping highs after early April's anomalous warmth peaking at 70°F on April 6—the season's first such reading. Historical April averages near 57°F align with this moderation, though short-range model uncertainty persists; watch Saturday evening's updated NWS guidance and Sunday model runs for potential shifts from onshore flow or lingering clouds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seattle on April 13?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 13?
54-55°F 45%
52-53°F 19%
56-57°F 16%
50-51°F 8%
45°F or below
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
45%
56-57°F
16%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F or higher
1%
54-55°F 45%
52-53°F 19%
56-57°F 16%
50-51°F 8%
45°F or below
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
45%
56-57°F
16%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 54-55°F (42.5% implied probability) for Seattle on April 13, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts clustering around 55-57°F amid a weak upper-level ridge rebuilding over the Pacific Northwest following a cooler, wet weekend. National Weather Service Seattle discussions highlight this post-frontal pattern, with marine stratus from Puget Sound likely capping highs after early April's anomalous warmth peaking at 70°F on April 6—the season's first such reading. Historical April averages near 57°F align with this moderation, though short-range model uncertainty persists; watch Saturday evening's updated NWS guidance and Sunday model runs for potential shifts from onshore flow or lingering clouds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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