Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models cluster tightly around a 20-21°C high for Shanghai on April 17, driving the near-even trader consensus with 20°C at 40% implied probability slightly edging 21°C at 38.5%. This positioning reflects the latest 24-hour model runs showing minor spread, where international ensembles favor 20°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds, while CMA guidance hints at 23°C potential from enhanced boundary layer heating. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover variability and mixing heights, which could cap peaks at 20°C or permit 21°C if clearer conditions emerge; historical mid-April highs at Shanghai Pudong average 19-20°C. Overnight 00Z updates and dawn observations will refine uncertainties ahead of resolution using official station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月17日上海气温最高？
4月17日上海气温最高？
20°C 41%
21°C 39%
19°C 11%
22°C 9.8%
最新
$50,956 交易量
最新
$50,956 交易量
2026-04-17
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
11%
20°C
41%
21°C
39%
22°C
10%
23°C或更高
2%
20°C 41%
21°C 39%
19°C 11%
22°C 9.8%
最新
$50,956 交易量
最新
$50,956 交易量
2026-04-17
13°C或以下
$4,063 交易量
<1%
14°C
$3,022 交易量
<1%
15°C
$9,270 交易量
<1%
16°C
$7,492 交易量
<1%
17°C
$3,146 交易量
<1%
18°C
$5,633 交易量
1%
19°C
$4,336 交易量
11%
20°C
$3,538 交易量
41%
21°C
$3,239 交易量
39%
22°C
$3,248 交易量
10%
23°C或更高
$4,131 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models cluster tightly around a 20-21°C high for Shanghai on April 17, driving the near-even trader consensus with 20°C at 40% implied probability slightly edging 21°C at 38.5%. This positioning reflects the latest 24-hour model runs showing minor spread, where international ensembles favor 20°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds, while CMA guidance hints at 23°C potential from enhanced boundary layer heating. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover variability and mixing heights, which could cap peaks at 20°C or permit 21°C if clearer conditions emerge; historical mid-April highs at Shanghai Pudong average 19-20°C. Overnight 00Z updates and dawn observations will refine uncertainties ahead of resolution using official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$50,956结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models cluster tightly around a 20-21°C high for Shanghai on April 17, driving the near-even trader consensus with 20°C at 40% implied probability slightly edging 21°C at 38.5%. This positioning reflects the latest 24-hour model runs showing minor spread, where international ensembles favor 20°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds, while CMA guidance hints at 23°C potential from enhanced boundary layer heating. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover variability and mixing heights, which could cap peaks at 20°C or permit 21°C if clearer conditions emerge; historical mid-April highs at Shanghai Pudong average 19-20°C. Overnight 00Z updates and dawn observations will refine uncertainties ahead of resolution using official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$50,956结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models cluster tightly around a 20-21°C high for Shanghai on April 17, driving the near-even trader consensus with 20°C at 40% implied probability slightly edging 21°C at 38.5%. This positioning reflects the latest 24-hour model runs showing minor spread, where international ensembles favor 20°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds, while CMA guidance hints at 23°C potential from enhanced boundary layer heating. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover variability and mixing heights, which could cap peaks at 20°C or permit 21°C if clearer conditions emerge; historical mid-April highs at Shanghai Pudong average 19-20°C. Overnight 00Z updates and dawn observations will refine uncertainties ahead of resolution using official station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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