Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 40.5% chance of Tel Aviv reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, with 34°C at 29%, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecasts projecting coastal highs of 29–30°C amid a significant temperature surge from easterly winds channeling dry desert air under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Recent IMS updates note unseasonably hot conditions persisting from April 15–16, with actuals exceeding 34°C in central areas and yellow heat stress warnings for dehydration risks. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather anticipates a peak near 34°C under hazy skies and low humidity below 30%, though diurnal heating and minimal cloud cover could push extremes higher, as seen in prior April heat events. Evening IMS advisories may refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on observed maxima at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
35°C or higher 44%
34°C 27%
33°C 18%
32°C 13%
$14,637 交易量
$14,637 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
13%
33°C
18%
34°C
27%
35°C or higher
44%
35°C or higher 44%
34°C 27%
33°C 18%
32°C 13%
$14,637 交易量
$14,637 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
13%
33°C
18%
34°C
27%
35°C or higher
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 40.5% chance of Tel Aviv reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, with 34°C at 29%, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecasts projecting coastal highs of 29–30°C amid a significant temperature surge from easterly winds channeling dry desert air under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Recent IMS updates note unseasonably hot conditions persisting from April 15–16, with actuals exceeding 34°C in central areas and yellow heat stress warnings for dehydration risks. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather anticipates a peak near 34°C under hazy skies and low humidity below 30%, though diurnal heating and minimal cloud cover could push extremes higher, as seen in prior April heat events. Evening IMS advisories may refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on observed maxima at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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