Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 27°C (35%) and 26°C (32%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models converging on a daytime maximum near 27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the official resolution station. This reflects a warming trend following April 16's cooler high around 22°C amid patchy rain, with partial cloudiness and low precipitation risk (under 10%) expected to allow afternoon peaks via sufficient solar insolation. Differentiating factors include model spread on low-level moisture and light winds (3-5 mph), which could cap heating at 26°C if clouds persist longer, versus clearer skies pushing to 27°C; climatological April highs average 22-23°C, but current upper-ridge setup favors above-normal warmth. Final CMA updates and hourly observations will sharpen odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
26°C 33%
27°C 33%
28°C 15%
25°C 10%
最新
$14,426 交易量
最新
$14,426 交易量
2026-04-17
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
10%
26°C
33%
27°C
33%
28°C
15%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 33%
27°C 33%
28°C 15%
25°C 10%
最新
$14,426 交易量
最新
$14,426 交易量
2026-04-17
23°C or below
$2,626 交易量
1%
24°C
$1,402 交易量
1%
25°C
$656 交易量
10%
26°C
$444 交易量
33%
27°C
$755 交易量
33%
28°C
$346 交易量
15%
29°C
$765 交易量
6%
30°C
$1,106 交易量
2%
31°C
$1,979 交易量
<1%
32°C
$943 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$3,425 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 27°C (35%) and 26°C (32%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models converging on a daytime maximum near 27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the official resolution station. This reflects a warming trend following April 16's cooler high around 22°C amid patchy rain, with partial cloudiness and low precipitation risk (under 10%) expected to allow afternoon peaks via sufficient solar insolation. Differentiating factors include model spread on low-level moisture and light winds (3-5 mph), which could cap heating at 26°C if clouds persist longer, versus clearer skies pushing to 27°C; climatological April highs average 22-23°C, but current upper-ridge setup favors above-normal warmth. Final CMA updates and hourly observations will sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$14,426结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 27°C (35%) and 26°C (32%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models converging on a daytime maximum near 27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the official resolution station. This reflects a warming trend following April 16's cooler high around 22°C amid patchy rain, with partial cloudiness and low precipitation risk (under 10%) expected to allow afternoon peaks via sufficient solar insolation. Differentiating factors include model spread on low-level moisture and light winds (3-5 mph), which could cap heating at 26°C if clouds persist longer, versus clearer skies pushing to 27°C; climatological April highs average 22-23°C, but current upper-ridge setup favors above-normal warmth. Final CMA updates and hourly observations will sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$14,426结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 27°C (35%) and 26°C (32%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models converging on a daytime maximum near 27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the official resolution station. This reflects a warming trend following April 16's cooler high around 22°C amid patchy rain, with partial cloudiness and low precipitation risk (under 10%) expected to allow afternoon peaks via sufficient solar insolation. Differentiating factors include model spread on low-level moisture and light winds (3-5 mph), which could cap heating at 26°C if clouds persist longer, versus clearer skies pushing to 27°C; climatological April highs average 22-23°C, but current upper-ridge setup favors above-normal warmth. Final CMA updates and hourly observations will sharpen odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题