Trader consensus favors 3-3.5 inches of precipitation in Seattle for April, with 36.5% implied probability, driven by Sea-Tac Airport (CLISEA) observations showing 1.86 inches accumulated through April 14—slightly above the normal pace of 1.64 inches—following a 1.06-inch rainfall event on April 14 that elevated totals from an earlier dry spell. This positions the month on track for near-normal outcomes around the long-term April average of 3.18 inches, per NOAA records, amid Seattle's transitional marine climate where Pacific storm tracks wane into spring. However, NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks signal 40-50% odds of below-normal precipitation for April due to persistent ridging over the western U.S., introducing uncertainty; traders await daily NWS updates and late-month model guidance for the remaining ~15 days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于四月份西雅图的降水量？
四月份西雅图的降水量？
3-3.5英寸 43%
＜2.5英寸 22%
3.5-4英寸 16.5%
2.5-3英寸 12%
$44,176 交易量
$44,176 交易量
2026-04-30
＜2.5英寸
22%
2.5-3英寸
12%
3-3.5英寸
37%
3.5-4英寸
16%
4-4.5英寸
2%
4.5-5英寸
2%
>5英寸
3%
3-3.5英寸 43%
＜2.5英寸 22%
3.5-4英寸 16.5%
2.5-3英寸 12%
$44,176 交易量
$44,176 交易量
2026-04-30
＜2.5英寸
$12,465 交易量
22%
2.5-3英寸
$8,438 交易量
12%
3-3.5英寸
$18,788 交易量
37%
3.5-4英寸
$1,171 交易量
16%
4-4.5英寸
$1,215 交易量
2%
4.5-5英寸
$1,129 交易量
2%
>5英寸
$970 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 3-3.5 inches of precipitation in Seattle for April, with 36.5% implied probability, driven by Sea-Tac Airport (CLISEA) observations showing 1.86 inches accumulated through April 14—slightly above the normal pace of 1.64 inches—following a 1.06-inch rainfall event on April 14 that elevated totals from an earlier dry spell. This positions the month on track for near-normal outcomes around the long-term April average of 3.18 inches, per NOAA records, amid Seattle's transitional marine climate where Pacific storm tracks wane into spring. However, NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks signal 40-50% odds of below-normal precipitation for April due to persistent ridging over the western U.S., introducing uncertainty; traders await daily NWS updates and late-month model guidance for the remaining ~15 days.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
交易量
$44,176结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 3-3.5 inches of precipitation in Seattle for April, with 36.5% implied probability, driven by Sea-Tac Airport (CLISEA) observations showing 1.86 inches accumulated through April 14—slightly above the normal pace of 1.64 inches—following a 1.06-inch rainfall event on April 14 that elevated totals from an earlier dry spell. This positions the month on track for near-normal outcomes around the long-term April average of 3.18 inches, per NOAA records, amid Seattle's transitional marine climate where Pacific storm tracks wane into spring. However, NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks signal 40-50% odds of below-normal precipitation for April due to persistent ridging over the western U.S., introducing uncertainty; traders await daily NWS updates and late-month model guidance for the remaining ~15 days.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$44,176结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 3-3.5 inches of precipitation in Seattle for April, with 36.5% implied probability, driven by Sea-Tac Airport (CLISEA) observations showing 1.86 inches accumulated through April 14—slightly above the normal pace of 1.64 inches—following a 1.06-inch rainfall event on April 14 that elevated totals from an earlier dry spell. This positions the month on track for near-normal outcomes around the long-term April average of 3.18 inches, per NOAA records, amid Seattle's transitional marine climate where Pacific storm tracks wane into spring. However, NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks signal 40-50% odds of below-normal precipitation for April due to persistent ridging over the western U.S., introducing uncertainty; traders await daily NWS updates and late-month model guidance for the remaining ~15 days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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