Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres's strong reelection bid in California's 35th Congressional District drives the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic House winner, bolstered by the district's D+8 partisan lean and her consistent general election margins above 57% since 2014. Following Prop 50 redistricting in late 2025, Torres announced her candidacy on April 6 amid a lopsided fundraising edge—over $500,000 cash on hand versus Republican rematch challenger Mike Cargile's $2,500—after filings closed March 6 with no competitive GOP alternatives emerging. Cook Political rates it Solid Democratic, reflecting Torres's incumbency advantage in the Inland Empire. The June 2 top-two primary looms, but scenarios like a major scandal, health event, or national Republican wave could challenge this outlook.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$16,632 거래량
$16,632 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
7%
$16,632 거래량
$16,632 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$10,849 거래량
93%
공화당
$5,783 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres's strong reelection bid in California's 35th Congressional District drives the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic House winner, bolstered by the district's D+8 partisan lean and her consistent general election margins above 57% since 2014. Following Prop 50 redistricting in late 2025, Torres announced her candidacy on April 6 amid a lopsided fundraising edge—over $500,000 cash on hand versus Republican rematch challenger Mike Cargile's $2,500—after filings closed March 6 with no competitive GOP alternatives emerging. Cook Political rates it Solid Democratic, reflecting Torres's incumbency advantage in the Inland Empire. The June 2 top-two primary looms, but scenarios like a major scandal, health event, or national Republican wave could challenge this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$16,632종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres's strong reelection bid in California's 35th Congressional District drives the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic House winner, bolstered by the district's D+8 partisan lean and her consistent general election margins above 57% since 2014. Following Prop 50 redistricting in late 2025, Torres announced her candidacy on April 6 amid a lopsided fundraising edge—over $500,000 cash on hand versus Republican rematch challenger Mike Cargile's $2,500—after filings closed March 6 with no competitive GOP alternatives emerging. Cook Political rates it Solid Democratic, reflecting Torres's incumbency advantage in the Inland Empire. The June 2 top-two primary looms, but scenarios like a major scandal, health event, or national Republican wave could challenge this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$16,632종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres's strong reelection bid in California's 35th Congressional District drives the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic House winner, bolstered by the district's D+8 partisan lean and her consistent general election margins above 57% since 2014. Following Prop 50 redistricting in late 2025, Torres announced her candidacy on April 6 amid a lopsided fundraising edge—over $500,000 cash on hand versus Republican rematch challenger Mike Cargile's $2,500—after filings closed March 6 with no competitive GOP alternatives emerging. Cook Political rates it Solid Democratic, reflecting Torres's incumbency advantage in the Inland Empire. The June 2 top-two primary looms, but scenarios like a major scandal, health event, or national Republican wave could challenge this outlook.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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