Incumbent Rep. Mike Collins' decision to run for U.S. Senate has opened Georgia's 10th Congressional District—an R+11 PVI seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report—yet trader consensus heavily favors the Republican nominee at 87.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's history of GOP dominance, including Collins' 63%-37% win in 2024 over Democrat Lexy Doherty, who is running again amid a weak Democratic field with minimal fundraising. Recent escalation in the May 19 Republican primary features state Rep. Houston Gaines, who leads with over $1.4 million cash on hand and secured former President Trump's endorsement this week, positioning him strongly against challengers Ryan Millsap and Jeff Baker, while Democrats like Pamela DeLancy trail far behind, underscoring low general election competitiveness.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
12%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,426 거래량
88%
Democratic Party
$0 거래량
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Collins' decision to run for U.S. Senate has opened Georgia's 10th Congressional District—an R+11 PVI seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report—yet trader consensus heavily favors the Republican nominee at 87.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's history of GOP dominance, including Collins' 63%-37% win in 2024 over Democrat Lexy Doherty, who is running again amid a weak Democratic field with minimal fundraising. Recent escalation in the May 19 Republican primary features state Rep. Houston Gaines, who leads with over $1.4 million cash on hand and secured former President Trump's endorsement this week, positioning him strongly against challengers Ryan Millsap and Jeff Baker, while Democrats like Pamela DeLancy trail far behind, underscoring low general election competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$2,426종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Collins' decision to run for U.S. Senate has opened Georgia's 10th Congressional District—an R+11 PVI seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report—yet trader consensus heavily favors the Republican nominee at 87.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's history of GOP dominance, including Collins' 63%-37% win in 2024 over Democrat Lexy Doherty, who is running again amid a weak Democratic field with minimal fundraising. Recent escalation in the May 19 Republican primary features state Rep. Houston Gaines, who leads with over $1.4 million cash on hand and secured former President Trump's endorsement this week, positioning him strongly against challengers Ryan Millsap and Jeff Baker, while Democrats like Pamela DeLancy trail far behind, underscoring low general election competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,426종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mike Collins' decision to run for U.S. Senate has opened Georgia's 10th Congressional District—an R+11 PVI seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report—yet trader consensus heavily favors the Republican nominee at 87.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's history of GOP dominance, including Collins' 63%-37% win in 2024 over Democrat Lexy Doherty, who is running again amid a weak Democratic field with minimal fundraising. Recent escalation in the May 19 Republican primary features state Rep. Houston Gaines, who leads with over $1.4 million cash on hand and secured former President Trump's endorsement this week, positioning him strongly against challengers Ryan Millsap and Jeff Baker, while Democrats like Pamela DeLancy trail far behind, underscoring low general election competitiveness.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문